Bitcoin’s price rise could be limited to $100K, despite the $3B of ETF inflows

The following are key points.

• Inflows of Bitcoin ETFs are not always indicative of a top in the price, as data from history is inconsistent.

• Bitcoin spot inflows are often followed by short-term rises and not price reversals.

• Bitcoin could reach $100K, but there is resistance.

Bitcoin’s (BTCPrice recovery could be stopped at $100,000, as it is questioned whether the high ETF flows have always been the top local price for this asset.

Is $1B in Bitcoin ETF Inflows a sign of a Top?

Bitcoin’s bullish trend has continued after it recovered from its lows near $74,400. BTC was up by 8% during the last week, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro The following are some examples of how to get started: TradingView. 

Bitcoin’s rebound was fuelled by the high appetite of investors for spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which recorded $3.06 billion net weekly inflowsThe biggest since December 20,25.

Analyzing historical data could reveal whether or not the inflows of Bitcoin ETFs at high spots could indicate that the price may be approaching a local peak.

Although there are instances when large inflows have coincided or occurred before Bitcoin’s price peak, it hasn’t always happened that way.

BlackRock IBIT, for example, received $849,000,000 on the 12th of March in 2024.

The top signal was preceded by Bitcoin’s all-time record high around $73,300. On June 3, 2024 daily inflows reached $917 billion. This coincided with Bitcoin’s rise from $67,000 up to $72,000. Then, it corrected by 25% to $53,000. This supports the theory that large inflows occur before local peaks.

In November 2024 however, Bitcoin reached an all-time record high, but the price did not rise immediately. Instead, BTC showed resilience crossing the $100,000 market for the first time Its previous all-time highs of $108,000 Reached on December 17, 2025

FalconX’s market analytics tool uses the Vector Autoregression (VA) model. demonstrated The relationship between ETF flows and Bitcoin prices was examined, and it found that short-term inflows can predict price increases but not necessarily price reversals.

Related: A ‘local top’ and $88K retest? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

How high could Bitcoin prices go?

Bitcoin’s 27% rise from $74,400 to the range low has seen it turn key levels, such as the 50-day moving average ($85,100), the 100-day moving (SMA) ($90,570), or the 200-day Moving Average ($89.300), into support.

AlphaBTC, a popular cryptocurrency analyst, observed that Bitcoin is still consolidating at the $95,000 resistance level.

“The pink box [at the $95,000 level] has held $BTC’s price for the last few days, as expected,” AlphaBTC said BTC is expected to move on from X by Monday.

Cointelegraph had reported previously that $95,000 marks the level where the next significant resistance Bitcoins and other currencies continued ETF demand Other bullish factors will be crucial in order to overcome it.

AlphaBTC added to the list

“I think we push to 100K, but then likely see a bigger pullback.”

Data collected from Monitoring Resource CoinGlass In the last 3 months, there has been a noticeable increase in interest from sellers within the range of $97,000 to $100,000.

The price of Bitcoin could rise to $100,000 in order to reach the level of liquidity before a reversal.

Keith Alan is the co-founder and trading resource Material Indicators. doubted BTC/USD’s ability to maintain a climb above $95,000. QCP Capital believes that Bitcoin is not as valuable as other currencies. “catalyst” For the moment, we will aim to get it up to $100,000.

This article contains no investment recommendations or advice. Risk is inherent in every investment decision and trade. The reader should always do research prior to making a final decision.