Bitcoin Metric Eyes the Bull Cross Repeated in 2025 That sparked $25,000 gains

BitcoinBTC) faces a fresh showdown this week as macro tensions contrast with a bullish BTC price trend reversal.

• A classic BTC price metric is above to flip bullish for the first time in nearly a year — last time, price gained $25,000 in two months.

• Quick timeframes see liquidations “aggressive” Traders pile up at $70,00.

• Iran tensions have reached a breaking point following Donald Trump’s election as US president “Bridge Day” deadline nears.

• The US Inflation data will be coming thick and fast, as war starts to show up in numbers.

• Analysis warns that Bitcoin is likely to reach new lows. “likely just a matter of time.”

MACD teases key bullish crossover

This week, Bitcoin bulls have found hope in longer-term charts.

A classic BTC pricing metric, which is a BTC-specific price metric, will soon produce a bullish signal.

On a weekly basis, the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) hinted that Bitcoin’s latest downtrend is in the process of reversing.

“​​Holding this level is crucial for the entire Crypto industry,” X commentator Crypto Seth argued On Monday, Ether was noted as (ETHA MACD crossed was also required.

The last weekly bullish MACD for Bitcoin occurred around a month after BTC/USD reached its low of 2025 near $74,500. The price rose from $94,000 up to $119,000 in the next two months.

GalaxyTrading is flagged as a trading resource for X. key MACD comparisons Bitcoins two past bear markets

“In the 2018 bear market, it took around 245 days for the weekly MACD to turn positive,” It is noted. 

“In 2022, it also took 245 days to turn bullish. In 2026, we will reach 245 days by the end of April.”

Bitcoin reaches $70,000, causing a spike in liquidations

TradingView’s data shows that Bitcoin has surpassed $70,000 since the close of last week, and reached new heights for April.

While many traders remained sceptical over the pre-market, the closing itself was noteworthy, bringing the old 2021 All-Time High and 200-week EMA as potential supports.

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedBoth levels of government have been accused of being unreliable.

$BTC pumping on a Sunday and everyone celebrating…

It’s impossible for you to learn.

— Roman (@Roman_Trading) April 6, 2026

Data from reveals that the crypto market has liquidated over $250 million dollars in 24 hours. CoinGlass.

CrypNuevo, a trader from CrypNuevo Trading Group continued his analysis by focusing on long positions closer to $64,000 as he continues to look for potential liquidities to the downside.

“There are some HTF liquidations between $64k-$64.5k. This adds fuel a move lower. I don’t see conclusive data on LTF liquidations,” He commented on the article. X thread Sunday is a holiday.

One of the “QuickTakeCryptoQuant, a blockchain analytics platform, has announced the return of “blog posts”. “aggressive short-term positioning” — spikes in both cumulative net taker volume and open interest on Binance.

Bitcoin is not just driven by its price. “but also by renewed speculative participation in derivatives,” contributor Amr Taha commented. 

“In simple terms, traders are becoming more willing to add fresh exposure as BTC pushes higher. If this trend continues, it could reinforce short-term momentum.”

Trump’s Iran “Bridge Day” Markets on the edge

This week is a combination of geopolitics, key US inflation statistics and the latest US economic data. “extreme volatility,” The analysis is a predictor.

Market sentiment is still dominated by the US-Israeli and Iran conflict, while oil prices are a reflection of uncertainty regarding key issues like the possible partial closure of Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude began the week at a price above $115 a barrel.

Investors have their eyes on one particular deadline when it comes down to the outcome of this conflict: Tuesday 8pm Eastern. US President Donald Trump will announce major infrastructure attacks if a deal with Iran cannot be reached.

Trump was particularly impatient in a weekend post on Truth Social, naming the date of the deadline. “Power Plant Day” You can also find out more about the following: “Bridge Day” Hormuz must be reopened, the demand is made.

While headlines remain mixed, the focus is on a 45 day ceasefire.

“This is being described as a ‘last-ditch effort’ to prevent ‘massive strikes on Iranian civilian infrastructure,'” Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter reported On X.

Kobeissi noted that S&P 500 futures “erased all losses” On the news, highlighting risk-asset vulnerabilities to war-related events. As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin remains no exception.

James Lavish is a former hedge fund manager and macro investor. He said, however, that last week the market was pricing in odds on the war’s ending soon.

BTC prices could drop if markets suffer a “black swan” The event is that he told CointelegraphThe amount of a.  

Risk assets face two major US inflation prints

This week the markets will be dealing with both war-related shocks as well as inflation figures, since multiple US data prints are due.

Among these is the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE), also known as Federal Reserve’s “preferred” inflation gauge.

PCE February release matched market expectationsBut it did not take into account inflation rates after World War I.

“Following the jump in oil prices and potential spillover impact from fertilizer shortages on food prices, challenges around the inflation outlook still poses a major risk,” The latest issue of the regular newsletter from Mosaic Asset Company, which summarizes its trading resources.The Market Mosaic.”

This risk applies also to the Consumer Price Index, the last number of the week and perhaps the most important one: The Consumer Price Index.

This is where the rise in oil prices is particularly relevant, given its direct impact CPI trends:

“Oil prices are now crossing above $115/barrel in the US. As a result, our models indicate that if current levels are sustained another ~7 weeks, US CPI inflation will rise to ~3.7%,” Kobeissi commented.

Kobeissi stated that it was a statement. “base case” for CPI inflation was now 3% — considerably higher than the Fed’s target.

The PCE is similar to the most recent CPI print It was flat and helped temper the effect of overshoots in previous years.

CME Group has released the latest statistics. FedWatch Tool There is little chance that the Fed will either raise or decrease interest rates during its next meeting, which takes place at the end April.

The new lows “just a matter of time?”

Bitcoin’s price is expected to fall as long-term macroeconomic events continue.

Related: Bitcoin ‘done’ with 85% crashes, says Cathie Wood amid new $34K target

BTC/USD battles for support near the bottom of it’s chart. second bear flag 2026. In January of this year, the first one appeared, and it resulted in an approximate drop of $25,000

“Structurally, $BTC price action is still nearly identical to the prior bear flag structure,” Keith Alan cofounder Material Indicators trading resource warned Last week. 

“Nothing says that it has to continue to mimic that price behavior, but I’m following it like roadmap until price deviates from that path.”

There are new lows. Cointelegraph reported There is a general consensus that the February low of below $60,000. will be revisited. 

“When that breakdown eventually happens, watch the behavior closely. If price starts repeatedly sweeping the lows, making it psychologically difficult to enter longs, that’s when a true bottom is more likely forming,” pseudonymous trader LP told X fans this weekend

LP stated that new lows had been reached “likely just a matter of time.”

Alan, on the other hand, was looking at a mid-$40,000 trip as part of an “measured move” Under the bear-flag, there is a support.

“Expecting to test resistance in the $67k – $69k range before the next leg down,” He was writing while discussing Topic X is a topic. 

“End to the war or a really strong Q2 Open could invalidate the bear flag and challenge resistance at the MACRO structure.”