JPMorgan analysts predict $165k BTC price

Takeaways:

• Wall Street has forecasted Bitcoin’s value at the end of year to be between $133,000 and $200,000.

• Many agree that Bitcoin ETFs inflows, and the gold correlation could propel BTC to record heights.

BitcoinBTC() is gaining momentum and has risen by more than 13% over the last seven days. It’s now on its way to reach its new record of $124,500.

Top Wall Street and UK Financial Institutions predict that Bitcoin could reach new records by the year 2025.

Citigroup believes BTC will reach $133,000

Citigroup expects Bitcoin could end up at around 133,000 dollars in 2025, setting a brand new high. It implies a modest increase of 8.75% from the current levels, which are around $122,350.

According to the bank’s case for growth, it is expected that there will be steady and supported growth. robust inflows from spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) The following are some examples of how to get started: digital asset treasury allocationsThe key structural factors that it believes will drive Bitcoin to its next high are:

On Saturday, the total Bitcoin ETFs in US managed more than $163.50 BTC. Citi predicts that new ETF flows will total $7.5 billion before the end of this year, which is expected to help sustain demand.

Citi’s bear scenario, however, puts Bitcoin at as low as $83000 if the recessionary pressures increase and risk sentiment declines.

JPMorgan Analysts: Bitcoin up to $165,000 by 2025

Even after adjusting for volatility, Bitcoin still remains below gold. according A team of JPMorgan Chase strategists, led by the managing director Nikolaos Pantigirtzoglou.

In the most recent report, published Wednesday, it was noted that Bitcoin’s volatility has fallen below 2, which means Bitcoin absorbs 1.85x more capital risk than gold.

In order to reach the $6 trillion estimated private gold reserves across bars, coins, ETFs etc., Bitcoins’ current $2.3 billion market capitalization will need to rise by 42%. That would mean a BTC value of approximately $165,000 theoretically.

Gold can be viewed in many ways. Bitcoin’s traditional macro counterpartThe stock is currently up 48% for the year, which puts it on course to have its best performance ever.

While the annual relative strength index (RSI) The XAU/USD has climbed up to almost 89. This is its highest reading since 2012.

This is a level that historically preceded deep, multiyear corrections of 40–60%. Gold’s upward trend may slow down in the coming week.

Related: Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts 50% Q4 rally to $170K

Meanwhile, BTC has shown an 8-week lagging correlation with gold JPMorgan’s forecast for an end-of-year Bitcoin rally is further reinforced by the fact that capital has been moving away from gold in recent years.

JPMorgan’s bullish forecast also assumes that spot ETFs will continue to receive steady inflows. Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle In the next few months,

Standard Chartered makes a $200,000 bold call

Standard Chartered is the most confident amongst major banks in predicting Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by December.

Like Citigroup and JPMorgan, the bank’s analysts cite sustained ETF inflows—averaging over $500 million per week—as a key driver that could lift Bitcoin’s total market capitalization closer to $4 trillion.

Growing institutional adoptionThe US dollar is weakening and the global economy has improved. liquidity conditions, could set the stage for another parabolic move similar to Bitcoin’s 2020–2021 bull run, the analysts explain.

Standard Chartered’s analysts present the $200,000 situation as a “structural uptrend” Instead of a short term speculative rally.

VanEck expects Bitcoin to rise from $18,000 in 2025 to $180,000.

Asset manager VanEck projects Bitcoin’s value could be around $180,000 by the year 2025 based on post-halving cycles dynamics.

The company argues that April 2024 halving This has created the conditions for an increase in demand, and ETFs as well as digital asset treasuries are the fuel that will drive the trend upward.

As shown below, Bitcoin’s recent performance mirrors previous cycles of four years.

In the past, Bitcoin’s cycle peak has occurred between 365 to 550 days following a half-off. It has now been 533 calendar days since Bitcoin’s halving. This puts it within the historic window of time for large rallies.

Saad Ahmed is the head of Gemini APAC. told Cointelegraph Bitcoin’s cycles could go beyond this range. “driven more by human emotion than pure math” Will you? “very likely continue in some form” into 2026.

The article is not intended to provide investment advice. Risk is inherent in every investment decision and trade. The reader should always do research prior to making any kind of decision.