Bitcoin trading in a fragile state After dropping below $90,000. This has led some analysts to speculate that the next significant rally could be further away than many expect.
Tony, a leading crypto analyst shares his latest outlook. “The Bull” Severino’s concern is a good example. He adds weight to this concern. analysis focuses on The 6-week LMACD has crossed into bearish territory for the first year.
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Bitcoin Momentum Changes on the 6-Week LMACD
Severino’s technical forecast is accompanied by a warning. He argues that Bitcoin has become a threat to the global economy. nowhere close to staging The kind of recovery that many have been waiting for.
Severino says that his message is centered around the concept of momentum. now firmly pointed downward. This momentum can be attributed to the most recent crossover of the LMACD 6-week chart, known for its definitive crossovers which confirm long-term trends.
By the time that it turns bearish on a 6-week basis, Bitcoin has already entered a major downturn. This is confirmed by the chart, which shows multiple examples. Bitcoin has entered red extended phases that lasted 812, 861, and 686 day following bearish crossovers.
Bitcoin bottoms out long after the cross-over occurs, as the signal is delayed by the price movement. Severino pointed out that the lows of bear markets always occur between 250 to 365 days following the bearish turn, and not just a couple weeks. Trading analysts who are expecting the market to bottom out only 40 days following the bearish flip ignores how slowly this indicator moves.
This chart shows how much more severe the downturns become when LMACD turns bearish. In previous cycles, Bitcoin’s price fell by roughly 69%-75% as soon as the cross occurred.
You should read this article if you wish to know why Bitcoin’s bull run is not likely to return.
Momentum is a word that describes the current of a movement.
The LMACD 6-week has the most clean crossovers, which are confirmation points for pivotal trends. The signal lags,… pic.twitter.com/mq9uR2Fqec
— Tony “The Bull” Severino CMT (@TonyTheBullCMT). November 22, 2025
The road to recovery may take a while before it becomes significant
LMACD signal just crossed bearish, The current crossover will not be confirmed for 15 more days. However, the similarity to previous cycles should still be kept in mind.
Severino said that he does not predict the end of Bitcoin’s long-term potential, but he urges traders to keep an eye on it. stop expecting rapid upside. Bitcoin is unlikely to drop 70% more from this point, as it did in previous cycles.
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The LMACD 6-week is a signal of a long-term timeframe, which captures deep structural changes rather than fluctuations. Bitcoin is still a possibility. months away from its true cycle bottom.
Bitcoin’s price is currently $85,670. This represents a decline of 11% in the last seven days and 23% over the past 30. The Bitcoin price is likely to remain at or near these levels for a long time, according to Severino. experience a further decline It will take a while before a meaningful transition into the new bull phase occurs.
Chart from TradingView, with the image of See The Wild.
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Source: www.newsbtc.com
