The key takeaways
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The US bailout plan and the currency swap line with UAE ease global liquidity concerns and lower credit crisis risk.
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The record Bitcoin ETF flows and the rising BTC mining profits indicate a bullish trend despite Iran’s ongoing conflict.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) market capitalization soared to a record high of $1.02 billion on Wednesday, a new 11-week peak.BTCEther (ETH() has reached $2400. As investors became increasingly confident about the US immediate recession, they increased their oil price expectations.
Now traders weigh whether Bitcoin and Ether is destined to continue its gains, or if there will be a temporary correction given that recession risk persists.
As traders awaited Tesla’s (TSLA) quarterly earnings, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 reached a high record on Wednesday. Brent crude rose by 9% in two days following reports that Iran had targeted two ships near the Strait of Hormuz. Energy costs are rising, which increases the probability of an economic stimulus. This provides a temporary cushion for risky assets.
Inflows of Bitcoin ETFs and US liquidity plans may help to offset fears about recession
US President Donald Trump has reportedly been spotted. stated CNBC interviewed me during an interview. “the federal government should help” Spirit Airlines has twice filed for bankruptcy since 2025. The Trump Administration has provided capital previously to Intel (INTC US), Southern Company (SO US), and L3Harris.
US Treasury Department Scott Bessent has announced that US Treasury credit lines have helped ease liquidity issues for US allies. US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent noted Both the United States and United Arab Emirates will benefit Wednesday from a currency exchange line designed to “maintain order in the dollar funding markets.”
Amid the decline in oil revenues and the disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz, US allies face pressure to sell US debt to raise funds for local defence, imports and liquidity. Currency swaps could ease the dollar shortages and prevent a rise in US Treasury yields. This will result in lower borrowing rates and reduced risks of a credit crisis.
The US stock market has seen six days in a row of significant capital flows. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds The ETFs, totaling over $1.54billion in assets, are likely to have boosted sentiment. Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust US, launched successfully in less than three weeks and reaching $145,000,000 in net assets total in just under that time period, has likely boosted sentiment.

Related: Bitcoin inflows to Binance fall to 2023 low as BTC bulls set target on $80K
Short-term pressure on Bitcoin prices eased by profitability of bitcoin miners
According to Luxor Hashprice Index, as Bitcoin prices approached $79,000, the miner’s profitability reached its highest levels since January.

Recently, the mining industry has gained new attention. sold significant Bitcoin holdings To fund investment in data centres and AI infrastructure. MARA Holdings US, Riot Platforms US, Core Scientific US and Cango US are some examples. Higher profitability may not mean that miners will reduce their selling pressure, but the positive momentum can encourage investors to buy.
The war in Iran, and the tech earnings, are still the most important factors for traders’ sentiment.
Bitcoin and Ether are expected to continue their growth as the US Government signals it will use stimulus measures to address liquidity concerns and credit issues.
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Source: cointelegraph.com

