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Home»Bitcoin»Polymarket odds 21% chance for Bitcoin to hit $150K by 2026

Polymarket odds 21% chance for Bitcoin to hit $150K by 2026

Bitcoin By Gavin02/01/2026
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$140K Bitcoin Isn’t Just A Dream Anymore, Analysis Shows
$140K Bitcoin Isn’t Just A Dream Anymore, Analysis Shows
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Polymarket traders predict that Bitcoin could reach $150,000. This is in spite of the opinion expressed by many experts who see 2026 to be a late bull year. 

The current market for “what price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?,” Polymarket gives 45% of Bitcoin’s price reaching $120,000. This is a point lower than its previous high.

In the case of $130,000 there is only a 35% chance, $140,000 offers a chance of 28%, and $150,000 gives a chance for 21%. 

The most conservative bet that traders today are willing to make is $100,000, at 80%. 

Polymarket bets on BTC by end-of-year price. Source: Polymarket

The end of the movie is what’s made people so wary. four-year cycle It may not be the only thing to blame, however. BTC closed 2025 in the red.

Market patterns around halving events had been repeated several times throughout Bitcoin’s existence, and chartists were able to predict future movements. This is ending, and new patterns of trading can emerge.

Related: Bitcoin options boom raises fears of capped BTC upside

Analysts have predicted a positive year for Bitcoin despite the odds.

In the next few weeks, President Donald Trump will announce that a new US Federal Reserve Chair is to be appointed. This could include a woman. boon for crypto As many anticipate interest rates will be reduced.

This anticipation is partly responsible for the rise in price of precious materials such as silver and gold. both hitting new ATHs In the fourth quarter 2025, digital commodities will remain flat in cryptocurrency.