The key takeaways:
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Bitcoin’s OBV continues to rise despite the price consolidation. This indicates hidden accumulation.
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A similar OBV divergence in March–April preceded a 57% BTC price rally.
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Bitcoin could reach $130,000-135,000 in Q3 2025 if a bull-flag breakout is confirmed.
BitcoinBTCIt has been a. stuck in a range It has risen between $102,000 and $122,000, since May. However, its On-balance Volume (OBV) is still trending upwards, hinting that more gains are ahead.
The rising OBV indicates Bitcoin accumulation
Price-OBV divergence signals a growing trend “buying pressure,” According to a market analyst Cas Abbé, who expects a rising OBV will assist in sending BTC’s price toward the $130,000–$135,000 area by Q3 2025.
It tracks the volume in order to identify whether sellers or buyers are controlling. The indicator adds the volume when prices close higher, and subtracts on lower days. An increasing OBV is a sign that buying volume has outpaced selling volume.
Since early May in the case of Bitcoin, OBV continues to show higher highs, even though price is largely sideways. Such a divergence from a technical standpoint suggests that there is an increase in demand.
BTC prices rose 57% after the previous OBV divergence
History shows that Bitcoin’s price tends to surge when OBV increases confirm underlying purchasing pressure in periods of price stability.
OBV began forming higher bottoms between March and April of 2025 when BTC traded sideways in a range of $76,000 to $84,000. BTC hit over $110,000 at the end of May, after a 57% surge.
The fractal could validate analyst Cas Abbé’s view that a move toward $130,000–$135,000 may occur in Q3 2025 if it plays out as intended.
Bull flags support $130,000 BTC scenario
Bitcoin is forming what appears to be an old-fashioned classic. bull flag patternA continuation setup is usually seen after a strong uptrend, which has been followed by a consolidation period.
BTC’s increase to $112,000 on the daily chart from about $93,670 was established in May. “flagpole.” Since then the price has been consolidating down within a parallel channels, forming “flag.”
BTC’s structure may indicate that it is preparing to move higher. That would place Bitcoin’s breakout target around $130,000, aligning closely with Cas Abbé’s forecast for Q3 2025.
Related: No one will sell their Bitcoin once it taps $130K: Bitwise CEO
Galaxy Digital’s founder Mike Novogratz sees the bull flag as a target. Bitcoin hitting $130,000-150,000 A weaker US dollar and strong institutional flows are the main reasons for this.
Stockmoney Lizards is one analyst who believes that Bitcoin’s price will continue to increase. year-end target of $200,000.
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Source: cointelegraph.com
