The Bitcoin Network Value-to Transactions (NVT), Golden Cross, is showing an upward trajectory. This could be a sign of a possible bearish price for BTC.
Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross is Nearing Overheated Area Right Now
CryptoQuant Quicktake by an Analyst postCurrently, NVT Golden Cross holds a great value. The “NVT Ratio”This on-chain tool keeps track of the relationship between Bitcoin Market Cap and Transaction Volume.
The market cap here is simply the total value of the cryptocurrency’s circulating supply at the current spot price, while the transaction volume is a measure of the total amount of the asset that’s becoming involved in transfer activities on the network.
When the value of the NVT Ratio is high, it means BTC’s value (that is, the market cap) is high compared to its ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). This can indicate that the coin has become overvalued.
On the other hand, the metric being low suggests the cryptocurrency’s price could be due a rebound to the upside, as the market cap isn’t overheated compared to the volume.
This topic uses a version of the NVT ratio known as the NVT Golden Cross The indicator of interest is the NVT Golden Cross. The NVT golden cross is a metric that is similar to Bollinger Bands. It compares the NVT Ratio’s short-term and long-term trends to see if a bottom or top is approaching. This indicator utilizes the moving average (10-day MA) to determine the trend for short-term and 30-day MA, for long-term.
Here is the chart showing the trends in Bitcoin NVT Gold Cross for the last year.
The Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has recently reached a new high, as shown in the graph above. The indicator’s rise was so sharp that it entered into a special zone past the 2.2 mark.
In this region, the asset’s price has often formed some sort of top. The same also held true during the visit into the zone this time around, with BTC’s price witnessing a bearish reversal.
As the coin’s price has gone through a retrace in the past week, the metric has also cooled off. The value of the metric remains high despite its decline. The quant notes:
NVT says that at the moment, it is expected that the price increase will continue. To sustain this upward trend, the volume of transactions on the network needs to increase.
Historically, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross tends to bottom out when it falls below the 1.6 level. This indicator only has dropped down to 1.8 so it has some way to fall before entering this zone.
BTC Price
Bitcoin was trading at $83,300 as of the writing. This is down nearly 6% over the past seven days.
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Source: www.newsbtc.com

