The Bitcoin cycle could be radically different in 2026 from what investors believed they knew.
Since more than 10 years, the markets have relied on the 4-year halving to forecast peaks, crashes, and recovery.
In this framework, the peak should have occurred in 2025, and 2026 was a year that would be characterized by a severe downturn. But an increasing number of analysts say this model no longer works and that the next stage of cryptocurrency may be very different.
The Cointelegraph has released a video that explores what the year 2026 could bring. In this new video we discuss four of the major cryptocurrency companies: Grayscale Digital, Galaxy Digital Bitwise and 21Shares.
Some of the forecasts have been surprisingly positive. Grayscale argues Bitcoin (BTC) could reach new all-time highs in the first half of 2026, driven by macro forces like rising global debt, fiat debasement and accelerating institutional adoption through exchange-traded products. The classic four-year cycles would be invalidated if that were to happen.
Other cautions are also issued. Galaxy describes 2018 as “too chaotic to predict,” It cites wide ranges of prices in the options market and the looming uncertainty such as US midterm elections, and shifting monetary policies while remaining optimistic for the long term.
Reports convergent on key crypto trends beyond Bitcoin’s price: the explosion of stablecoins and prediction markets based on real world events; as well as the growing demand for privacy-enhancing tools, with crypto integrating deeper into mainstream financial institutions.
Watch the entire video on Cointelegraph’s YouTube channel to get the full breakdown, including the key data, the company-by firm predictions, and the narratives that will most likely define 2026. Don’t forget to share, subscribe, and add your comments.
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Source: cointelegraph.com
