Why trust?
Editorial policy that is strict and focuses on accuracy. Relevance, and neutrality
Expertly crafted by experts in the industry and thoroughly reviewed
Highest standards of reporting and publication
Editorial policy focused on accuracy and relevance.
Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.
Bob Loukas is a crypto expert who has provided a Bitcoin report that suggests the currency could enter the mainstream. “perfect storm” Phase of the four-year cycling cycle. Loukas, in an unexpected twist to the traditional cycle model, now envisions a blow-off top that extends into the early part of 2026. He also introduces the idea of a double-cycle.
This is the fourth installment in his Four-Year Journey published on June 26, Loukas reaffirms that the current Bitcoin cycle — which began with the November 2022 low — remains structurally intact and is nearing its climactic phase. “This is certainly the most bullish phase of the four-year cycle,” Loukas states. “We’re now sort of on the cusp of what traditionally has been the beginning or the blowoff phase of a cycle.”
The Bitcoin blowoff has been delayed?
Loukas says that what separates the cycle is a unique combination of mature fundamentals with a convergence of macro-, institutional-, and regulatory factors. This includes continued ETF inflows, corporate treasury adoptionHe anticipates a possible crypto-friendly Fed Chair appointment under Trump’s administration. These forces, he says, are creating a “perfect storm” Price expansion is a good example.
Read Related Articles
Loukas is cautious about providing hard price targets but acknowledges a doubling effect that could send Bitcoin from its current range near $110,000 to as high as $150,000–$170,000 in the short term. In the past, Bitcoin has doubled in just a few months after new highs have been reached. “A breakout to the upside can see Bitcoin essentially almost double in a very short period of time,” He points to previous legs of the cycle, where Bitcoin surged between $25K and $75K (or $50K to $100,000) within a five-month window.
Loukas introduces a complex, multi-layered structure he describes as “a”. “double cycle blowoff.” He describes this as a fusion of two adjacent four-year cycle peaks — a concept that could delay the market top to as late as February or March 2026, well beyond the traditional 35-month cycle peak window.
“If we’ve still got sort of a six to seven month expansion to a peak… that would lead us into maybe even a February or March peak,” Loukas explains. This scenario, while still within the broader cyclical rhythm, would imply a 39–41 month uptrend rather than the typical 33–35 months. “I do think it’s time… 15–16 years into Bitcoin’s adoption,” He notes that the transition from early techno believers to institutional penetration is a long one.
Read Related Articles
Implications are important. A delayed peak could mean a much shorter corrective phase — or even the emergence of a second explosive rally as the next cycle begins, creating what Loukas describes as the illusion of one extended supercycle. “There’s a significant upside potential still to come in this cycle,” He says that many people could be taken off-guard. “You don’t want to be surprised.”
BTC price targets
Loukas also addresses the broader sentiment picture, noting that the typical mania — the kind that marked tops in 2017 and late 2021 — has not yet materialized. “We haven’t seen that sort of blowoff, absolute extreme sentiment that you typically would see near the top,” He says. He believes that this is further proof of the final phase still to come.
Loukas muses on the target price for a Supercycle: “I can see numbers in the quarter of a million level. I can also see some really crazy numbers when you see prior manias and bubbles in different asset classes, […] Seeing a 5x, 6x, 7x move from here over a 2-year period in a major mania is not really a stretch. Even from a market cap perspective, it’s not a stretch, seeing where gold is already heading through the $20 trillion level and well beyond.”
Loukas emphasizes these are only probabilistic ideas and not predictions. However, he warns about the consequences in the long term if this double-cycle theory is realized. An influx of capital from institutional investors, government interest and retail mania may trigger Bitcoin’s first real secular bear-market, measured not in months, but years. “If you consider a mania leadup where so many treasury companies and traditional flows come together and peak… the unwinding process just takes a lot longer.”
Loukas’s model portfolio, which reflects a conservative, capital-preserving approach, is partially held in cash. However, Loukas acknowledges that young or riskier investors may see this as the final opportunity to accumulate before moving onto the next phase. “This video is very, very bullish, right?” he quips.
BTC is currently trading for $107,317.
Featured image was created with DALL.E chart by TradingView.com
“This article is not financial advice.”
“Always do your own research before making any type of investment.”
“ItsDailyCrypto is not responsible for any activities you perform outside ItsDailyCrypto.”
Source: www.newsbtc.com
