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Home»Bitcoin»BTC Bounces off $112K as Bitcoin traders hold firm

BTC Bounces off $112K as Bitcoin traders hold firm

Bitcoin By Gavin01/10/2025
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Where Did Bitcoin’s Retail Go? Look Offchain
Where Did Bitcoin’s Retail Go? Look Offchain
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The key takeaways

  • The premiums on Bitcoin put options are increasing, indicating a cautious trading sentiment.

  • US job openings are at their lowest level in five years, amidst growing recession concerns and possible economic risks.

  • On Monday, $518 millions were poured into Bitcoin ETFs, as public companies continue to accumulate, reducing the available supply.

BitcoinBTCPro traders are still uneasy with holding down risks, despite recent gains of $114,000 as the derivatives market shows increased fear. The traders are likely to be evaluating whether the metrics reflected concerns regarding global economic growth and fears specific for cryptocurrency markets.

Bitcoin Options 30 Day Skew. Source: Laevitas.ch

Bitcoin’s skew reached 5% in the morning on Tuesday before returning to its previous 8% level, which indicates that Bitcoin is now worth more. put (sell) options. BTC has a skew that ranges from -6% to 6% under neutral conditions. The unsuccessful attempt to claim $115,000 frustrated traders, in particular as gold, which was trading only 0.6% off Tuesday’s record high, maintained its bullish momentum.

The price of gold has increased by 16.7% in the last two months. US Dollar Index The (DXY), which reflects a lack of confidence in US fiscal policy, has struggled for years to reach the level of 98.5. Weaker US dollars tend to reduce consumption, as imports get more expensive. They also lower tax revenue from the international earnings of US-listed corporations.

US Dollar Index (left) vs. gold/USD (right). Source: TradingView Cointelegraph

Investors have grown increasingly worried that the US economic health may be in danger after continuing job market weakness. US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that 7.23 million jobs were available in August. This is the lowest level in over five years. “Federal unemployment insurance claims are about twice as high as they were last year,” Economic Policy Institute economists noted Tuesday.

The S&P 500 has shown remarkable resilience amid this uncertainty, as traders anticipate further interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and additional liquidity injections. After 30 straight months of falling assets, the Fed stabilised its total balance sheet in September.

US Federal Reserve assets in USD millions. Source: Federal Reserve

This is because it lowers both the costs of capital for companies and returns to investors on fixed income instruments. Like Bitcoin, listed firms offer opportunities through dividends or buybacks as well as mergers and acquistions. This means that they are less dependent on the employment level and broader economic expansion.

Bitcoin puts-to-call are stable and do not show any increase in the demand from bears

Bitcoin traders do not always have a bearish outlook, even though whales and other market-makers are reluctant to accept downside risks. The put-to call metric can be used to assess whether the demand for neutral to bearish strategies is increasing.

Bitcoin premium put-to call ratio at Deribit in USD. Source: Laevitas.ch

Deribit premiums for call instruments (buying) have lagged behind those paid by put options (selling). This indicates that more neutral to bullish strategies are in high demand. It is unlikely that the sudden surge on Saturday represents anything, because it was paid less than $13,000,000 in premiums. The data shows no sign of stress, or an increase in the demand for positions that are bearish.

Bitcoin net flows of $518 millions spot exchange-traded funds On Monday, (ETFs), provided evidence of demand as an independent hedge that is not always correlated with the gold. Public companies like Strategy Holdings, MARA Holdings and Metaplanet continue to invest. Bitcoin as a reserve strategyThis could create a shock in the supply.

Rather than reflecting bearish expectation, the decreased appetite for Bitcoin option downside exposure should reflect a heightened level of macroeconomic concern.

The article does not provide legal advice or investment recommendations and it is intended for informational purposes only. These are solely the opinions, views, and thoughts of the author and may not reflect the opinions and views of Cointelegraph.