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Home»Bitcoin»BTC Bounces back to $112K, but pro Bitcoin traders remain firm.

BTC Bounces back to $112K, but pro Bitcoin traders remain firm.

Bitcoin By Gavin30/09/2025
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Takeaways from the conference:

  • The premiums on Bitcoin put options are increasing, indicating a cautious trading sentiment.

  • US job openings are at their lowest level in five years, amidst growing recession concerns and possible economic risks.

  • 518 million dollars poured in to Bitcoin ETFs Monday while companies continue to accumulate and tighten the supply.

BitcoinBTCAs derivatives markets are showing increased anxiety, pro traders continue to be uneasy holding downside risk despite recent gains up to $114,000 These metrics are probably being analyzed by traders to determine if they reflect concerns over global economic growth, or fears about the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin options 30 day skew. Source: Laevitas.ch

Bitcoin’s skew indicator touched 5% Tuesday, but returned later to 8%. This indicates a premium of 8% for Bitcoin. put (sell) options. BTC’s skew is typically between -6 and 6 percent under neutral conditions. The failure to recover $115,000 disappointed traders, especially as gold continued its bullish trend, only trading 0.6% lower than Tuesday’s high.

The price of gold has increased by 16.7% in the last two months. US Dollar Index The (DXY), which reflects a lack of confidence in US fiscal policy, has struggled for years to reach the level of 98.5. The weaker the US dollar, the slower consumption will be as imports are more costly. Tax revenues on international earnings from US listed companies may also decrease.

US Dollar Index (left) vs. gold/USD (right). Source: TradingView Cointelegraph

After job market statistics continued to indicate weakness, investors are becoming increasingly concerned about the US economy. US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that 7.23 million jobs were available in August. This is the lowest level in over five years. “Federal unemployment insurance claims are about twice as high as they were last year,” Economic Policy Institute economists noted Tuesday.

The S&P 500 has shown remarkable resilience amid this uncertainty, as traders anticipate further interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and additional liquidity injections. After 30 straight months of falling assets, the Fed stabilised its total balance sheet in September.

US Federal Reserve assets in USD millions. Source: Federal Reserve

It is a positive thing that economic policy has less restrictions. The lower cost of capital, and the reduced returns for investors in fixed-income securities are both benefits to companies. Like Bitcoin, listed firms offer opportunities through dividends or buybacks. Also, they can be a good investment because of mergers and acquistions.

Bitcoin put-to call options remain steady, with no increase in demand for bearish Bitcoins

Bitcoin traders do not always have a bearish outlook, even though whales and other market-makers are reluctant to accept downside risks. The put-to call metric can be used to assess whether the demand for neutral to bearish strategies is increasing.

Bitcoin premium put-to call ratio at Deribit in USD. Source: Laevitas.ch

Deribit premiums for call instruments (buying) have lagged behind those paid by put options (selling). This indicates that more neutral to bullish strategies are in high demand. This sudden increase on Saturday was not indicative, since the premiums paid totaled less than 13 million dollars. The data shows no sign of stress, or an increase in the demand for positions that are bearish.

Bitcoin has received $518 Million in net new Bitcoin transactions spot exchange-traded funds ETFs on Monday provided clear evidence that demand was for a hedge not necessarily linked to gold. Companies like Strategy (MSTR), MARA Holdings(MARA), Metaplanet, (MTPLF), continue to increase their holdings. Bitcoin as a reserve strategyIt could lead to a sudden supply of goods.

The reduced appetite to take on downside risks in Bitcoin options is more likely a result of macroeconomic worries than a bearish expectation.

The article does not provide legal advice or investment recommendations and it is intended for informational purposes only. These are solely the opinions, views, and thoughts of the author and may not reflect the opinions and views of Cointelegraph.