During this week, macro volatility clouds will gather for bitcoin

BitcoinBTCAs volatility triggers increase worldwide, ) is bouncing into a brand new week.

• Bitcoin is now trading above $92,000, and traders are ready for short-term opportunities. 

• Short-term BTC prices are characterized by a liquidity hunt.

• Geopolitics and the Fed, along with inflation data, converge in a way that could produce macro volatility.

• Bitfinex Whales signal that the next price trend will be a BTC uptrend.

• An analysis suggests that 2026 could be the year when a fight at $65,000 will end.

BTC prices continue to rise, but traders are fading the price increase.

Bitcoin’s weekly candle started on a good note, thanks to the market volatility in Asia.

The Data of TradingView Bitstamp showed BTC/USD reaching local highs as $92,392.

The traders were immediately suspicious of the timing. Bitcoin is known to erase gains before a new trading week.

$BTC

Four of the six Asian session pumps in the previous 6 sessions were completely retraced.

Last two Mondays, when the price was pumped up, this marked an area top. The move has been reversed and even given back more.

Again, Monday is our focus. Be mindful of the January 13th pivot. pic.twitter.com/XLM9oDLSe8

— LP (@LP_NXT) January 12, 2026

“Hopefully, like we’ve seen many weeks, we’ll get a scam-pump on Sunday so we can look for shorts early in the week. With the weak ~$87,600 monthly open as final target,” Lennaert Lennaert, a trader told X Followers in Advance of the Weekend

“Needless to say with current headlines today is going to be super interesting,” Trader Skew predicted Monday.

“Commodities as a whole are getting bid here including BTC with some spot buying lifting price here.”

CrypNuevo trader CrypNuevo uses higher timeframes. focused On the 50-week moving average exponential (EMA), at $97400. This could be a target for an upside before new lows.

“My main scenario over the past month is that price will revisit the range lows before it can go higher – I expect Bitcoin to go back to low $80’s,” “He said”

CrypNuevo is still bullish about 2026 in general, considering the optimal entry points and $73,000. “worst case scenario.”

“Sudden squeezes” Standardize your everyday life

Multiple BTC classic price metrics align to forecast a new round of volatility.

CryptoQuant’s on-chain analytics platform has revealed new findings that put the exchange order book liquidity under fire.

“Liquidation spikes on both the long and short side align closely with sharp wicks and fast reversals. This behavior is typical of liquidity hunts, where overleveraged positions are forced out during periods of compressed price action,” The Alchemist 9, a contributor, wrote: Quicktake blog post Sunday.

BTC is described in the post as “increasingly shaped by liquidation events rather than organic spot demand.”

The open interest rate, the funding rate and Bollinger Bands Volatility indicator (all point) “sudden squeezes” Lower timeframes.

“Volatility here appears to be manufactured by leverage resets rather than sustained spot buying or selling,” Alchemist 9 has said.

CryptoQuant has acknowledged that liquidity hunts don’t necessarily indicate a trend.

Monitoring resource data provides the latest information on liquidity. CoinGlass This $90k image shows an area of key interest.

The Macro-Volatility cocktail is here

Even more volatility could occur after a major week of US inflation data. geopolitics Meets a showdown in which the Federal Reserve and the Government are at loggerheads.

As markets evaluate the impact of US threats of intervention in Iran and the quasi-takeover by the US of Venezuela, the latest Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index are released.

The US Supreme Court has to decide on the legality the trade tariffs Donald Trump implemented last year.

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedCrypto markets are highly reactive to all news relating to tariffs.

“Early-January volatility has created some exceptional trading conditions for investors,” Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized On X.

A weekend curveball came in the form of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who became the subject of a criminal investigation — allegedly over the handling of a renovation project. 

The aforementioned is a statementPowell has openly stated that there are other motives behind the Department of Justice’s (DOJ) move, namely interest rates not falling as quickly Trump got what he wanted

“This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings. It is not about Congress’s oversight role; the Fed through testimony and other public disclosures made every effort to keep Congress informed about the renovation project. Those are pretexts,” “He said” 

“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President.”

After the public announcement, stock futures dropped, and gold reached new record highs, reaching $4,601 for an ounce. 

It is interesting that the timing is so close to the Fed’s scheduled meeting. avoid another rate cut At its meeting on Jan. 28,

“Trump vs Powell will result in even more volatility,” Kobeissi added.

This week, several senior Fed officials will be speaking in public.

Bitfinex’s whales bitcoin longs are rolling over

Bitfinex whales continue to point the way forward when it comes to BTC price trends — if history is a guide.

Whales BTC positions have continued to decline this week, after hitting a high of 73,000 BTC.

Market participants hope that the current bull market will not be any different.

“From a long-term perspective, a bull market is already underway,” CW is a pseudonymous data analyst and crypto investor who contributes to the onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant. commented On the subject Monday 

“While the short-term may be confusing, the current situation is a little noise in the long run.”

In April of last year, BTC/USD was nearing its lows for the long term. The pair rose 50% in the following weeks.

MartyParty, a commentator on the Weekend’s events, has provided his own opinion. employed the Wyckoff method To predict the repeating of history, calling for an swing low (also known as the “spring,” to emerge next.

“This precedes the Wyckoff Spring,” He told X Followers

Bitfinex’s long positions currently stand at around 71 800 BTC. This is their lowest level since December 15.

Still a bear market in 2026

Bitcoin maturing as an asset has not made it immune from bear markets — and 2026 could easily prove that, new analysis says.

Related: Trump rules out SBF pardon, Bitcoin in ‘boring sideways’: Hodler’s Digest, Jan. 4 – 10

Updating followers Jurrien Timmer is the director of global macro for Fidelity. He said this could be a year that ends with a massive consolidation in BTC/USD followed by a bear market low.

“It’s interesting that a lot of Bitcoin folks are proclaiming that the four year cycle is dead and a new structural up wave is at hand,” He wrote. 

“I’m skeptical, not about the waning power of the halving cycle (with which I agree), but the idea that bear markets are no longer going to happen.”

A battle is envisioned at $65,000, if prices consolidate.

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reported BTC’s price, which has been hugging the power-law trendline for most of this bull market since late 2016, was already causing a lot of excitement.

Now, executive David Eng describes price as “coiling below” There is no other viable option for its growth trajectory.

“Bitcoin is Compressed Below Its Growth Law, and Compression Always Resolves Upward,” He summarized The X.

Eng added “history says resolution comes by price catching up, not the law giving way.”