The key takeaways:
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Wall Street has forecasted Bitcoin’s value at the end of year to be between $133,000 and $200,000.
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Many agree that Bitcoin ETFs inflows, and the gold correlation could propel BTC to record heights.
BitcoinBTC) has bounced by over 13% in the past seven days and is inching toward its record high of $124,500.
Top Wall Street and UK Financial Institutions predict that Bitcoin could reach new records by the year 2025.
Citigroup expects BTC to reach $133,000
Citigroup expects Bitcoin could end up at around 133,000 dollars in 2025, setting a brand new high. This implies an 8.75% increase from the current prices of around $122,350.
In its base case, the banking giant projects steady growth backed by robust inflows from spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) You can also find out more about the following: digital asset treasury allocationsIt sees these as key drivers for Bitcoin’s next upward leg.
All US Bitcoin ETFs managed over $163.50 BTC as of Saturday. Citi predicts that new ETF flows will total $7.5 billion before the end of this year, which is expected to help sustain demand.
Citi’s bear case, on the other hand, places Bitcoin’s value as low at $83,000 in the event that recessionary pressures increase and risk sentiment declines.
JPMorgan analyst: Bitcoin will reach $165,000 by 2025
When adjusted for volatility Bitcoin is still undervalued compared to gold. according The team is led by Nikolaos Paniagrtzoglou, managing director of JPMorgan Chase.
In the most recent report, published Wednesday, it was noted that Bitcoin’s volatility has fallen below 2, which means Bitcoin absorbs 1.85x more capital risk than gold.
In order to reach the $6 trillion estimated private gold reserves across bars, coins, ETFs etc., Bitcoins’ current market cap of $2.3 trillion would have to rise by 42%.
Gold can be regarded as an expensive metal. Bitcoin’s traditional macro counterpartIt is on pace to achieve its best-ever annual performance.
The yearly relative strength index (RSI) For the XAU/USD, it has risen to almost 89. Its most overbought value since 2012.
This is a level that historically preceded deep, multiyear corrections of 40–60%. The gold uptrend could lose momentum in the next few weeks.
Related: Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts 50% Q4 rally to $170K
Meanwhile, BTC has shown an 8-week lagging correlation with gold JPMorgan’s forecast for an end-of-year Bitcoin rally is further reinforced by the fact that capital has been moving away from gold in recent years.
JPMorgan’s bullish forecast also assumes that spot ETFs will continue to receive steady inflows. Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle The next months will be very busy.
Standard Chartered makes a $200,000 bold call
Standard Chartered continues to be the most positive among major banks. Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by December.
Like Citigroup and JPMorgan, the bank’s analysts cite sustained ETF inflows—averaging over $500 million per week—as a key driver that could lift Bitcoin’s total market capitalization closer to $4 trillion.
It is Growing institutional adoptionThe US dollar is weakening and the global economy has improved. liquidity conditions, could set the stage for another parabolic move similar to Bitcoin’s 2020–2021 bull run, the analysts explain.
Standard Chartered analysts describe the $200,000 case as a “structural uptrend” It is more than just a short-term rally.
VanEck predicts Bitcoin to reach $180,000 by 2025
Asset manager VanEck projects Bitcoin may reach $180,000 in 2025 due to post-halving dynamics.
The firm claims that the April 2024 halving This has opened the door to a squeeze in the supply, as ETF demand is fueled by digital asset treasuries.
The chart below shows that Bitcoin’s price has been retracing the previous 4-year cycle since its halving.
In the past, Bitcoin’s cycle peak has occurred between 365 to 550 days following a half-off. Since the halving on Saturday, 533 days have passed. That puts Bitcoin firmly in the window historically for major rallies.
Saad Ahmed is the head of Gemini APAC. told Cointelegraph Bitcoin’s cycles could go beyond this range. “driven more by human emotion than pure math” Will you? “very likely continue in some form” into 2026.
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Source: cointelegraph.com
