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Home»Bitcoin»JPMorgan analysts predict $165K Bitcoin price

JPMorgan analysts predict $165K Bitcoin price

Bitcoin By Gavin04/10/2025
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Bitcoin Price Coiling Up — Is a Surge Past $110K
Bitcoin Price Coiling Up — Is a Surge Past $110K
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Takeaways:

  • Wall Street has forecasted Bitcoin’s value at the end of year to be between $133,000 and $200,000.

  • Many agree that Bitcoin ETFs inflows, and the gold correlation could propel BTC to record heights.

BitcoinBTCThe price of ( has increased by 13% within the past week and is moving towards its new record high.

BTC/USD price charts. TradingView

Top Wall Street and UK Financial Institutions predict that Bitcoin could reach new records by the year 2025.

Citigroup believes BTC will reach $133,000

Citigroup expects Bitcoin will end the year 2025 around $133,000 and set a record. This implies an 8.75% increase from the current prices of around $122,350.

BTC/USD price charts. TradingView

In its base case, the banking giant projects steady growth supported robust inflows from spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) The following are some examples of how to get started: digital asset treasury allocationsIt sees these as key drivers for Bitcoin’s next upward leg.

All US Bitcoin ETFs managed over $163.50 BTC as of Saturday. Citi expects new ETF investments to be around $7.5 billion at the year’s end, supporting demand.

BTC US Spot ETF Balances Glassnode Source

Citi’s bear case, on the other hand, places Bitcoin’s value as low at $83,000 in the event that recessionary forces intensify and sentiments about risk decline.

JPMorgan analyst: Bitcoin will reach $165,000 by 2025

Even after adjusting for volatility, Bitcoin still remains below gold. according A team of JPMorgan Chase strategists, led by the managing director Nikolaos Pantigirtzoglou.

In the most recent report, published Wednesday, it was noted that Bitcoin’s volatility has fallen below 2, which means Bitcoin absorbs 1.85x more capital risk than gold.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Citi, Interest Rate, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, JPMorgan Chase, Bitcoin ETF
Bitcoin’s and gold volume-adjusted compare. Source: JPMorgan Chase

In order to reach the $6 trillion estimated private gold reserves across bars, coins, ETFs etc., Bitcoins’ current market cap of $2.3 trillion would have to rise by 42%.

Gold is often seen as a precious metal. Bitcoin’s traditional macro counterpartThe stock is currently up 48% for the year, which puts it on course to have its best performance ever.

XAU/USD yearly chart. TradingView

The annual relative strength index (RSI) The XAU/USD has climbed up to 89. This is its highest reading since 2012.

This is a level that historically preceded deep, multiyear corrections of 40–60%. The gold uptrend could lose momentum in the next few weeks.

Related: Bitcoin’s rare September gains defy history: Data predicts 50% Q4 rally to $170K

Meanwhile, BTC has shown an 8-week lagging correlation with gold In recent years, JPMorgan has reinforced its outlook that a Bitcoin rally will occur at the end of this year if investors move away from precious metals.

Source: X

JPMorgan’s bullish view also includes a constant stream of inflows into spot ETFs. Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle The next months will be very busy.

Standard Chartered makes a $200,000 bold call

Standard Chartered continues to be the most positive among major banks. Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by December.

Like Citigroup and JPMorgan, the bank’s analysts cite sustained ETF inflows—averaging over $500 million per week—as a key driver that could lift Bitcoin’s total market capitalization closer to $4 trillion.

US Bitcoin ETF Weekly net Flows Chart. Source: Glassnode

Growing institutional adoptionAlongside a weakened US dollar and an improving global liquidity conditions, could set the stage for another parabolic move similar to Bitcoin’s 2020–2021 bull run, the analysts explain.

US Dollar Index vs. BTC/USD – Weekly Performance Comparison Chart TradingView

Standard Chartered analysts describe the $200,000 case as a “structural uptrend” It is more than just a short-term rally.

VanEck expects Bitcoin to rise from $180,000 to $180,000 in 2025.

Asset manager VanEck projects Bitcoin’s value could be around $180,000 by the year 2025. This is based on dynamics after a halving of its cycle.

The firm claims that the April 2024 halving The demand for ETFs and digital assets treasuries will fuel the next upward leg.

As shown below, Bitcoin’s recent performance mirrors previous cycles of four years.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Citi, Interest Rate, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, JPMorgan Chase, Bitcoin ETF
Bitcoin price history since its halving. Glassnode: Source

In the past, Bitcoin’s cycle peak has occurred between 365 to 550 days following a half-off. It has now been 533 calendar days since Bitcoin’s halving. This puts it within the historic window of time for large rallies.

Saad Ahmad, Gemini APAC’s Head of APAC told Cointelegraph Bitcoin’s cycles could go beyond this range. “driven more by human emotion than pure math” Will you? “very likely continue in some form” into 2026.

The article is not intended to provide investment advice. Each investment or trading decision involves some risk. Readers should do their own research before making any decisions.