The recent price rebound has left traders wondering if Bitcoin is really back in the bull market or is this just another bear market rally leading up to the next big macro-leg upward.
Bitcoins local bottom or bull market pause?
Bitcoin’s most recent correction is deep enough that it rattles confidence, yet shallow enough for the trend to continue. Price seems to have set a local bottom between $76K–$77K, and several reliable metrics are beginning to solidify the local lows and point towards further upside.
It is important to note that the word “you” means “you”. Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) Nupl is a reliable indicator of sentiment across Bitcoin cycles. NUPL fell as the price dropped. “Anxiety” NUPL has recovered the territory after the bounceback. “Belief” A zone is the critical transition in sentiment that has historically been seen during macro lower lows.
It is important to note that the word “you” means “you”. Value Days Destroyed (VDD) Multiple The data is compared to the previous year’s average and weighed by coin size and age. This gives insight into long-term holder behaviour. Readings currently have been reset at low levels. This suggests that old, large coins aren’t being used. Smart money is clearly expressing their conviction. The 2016/17 bull cycle and the 2020/21 bull cycle both saw similar dynamics before major price rallies.

Bitcoin Bull Market Boosted by Long-Term Bitcoin Holders
The emergence of the Long Term Holder Supply The climb is beginning. Participants are now building up at lower levels after taking profits above $100K. These phases of accumulation are what historically have led to supply pressures and parabolic prices.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbons Signal Bull Market Cross
You can also find out more about the following: Hash Ribbons Indicator The short-term trend of the hash rate has crossed above the long-term average. In the past, this signal was associated with trend changes and bottoms. The behavior of miners tends to be a reflection of their expectations for profitability, so this cross could indicate that they are confident about higher prices in the future.

Bitcoin Bull Market is Linked with Stocks
Bitcoin is still closely linked to equity and macro-liquidity trends, despite bullish data on the chain. particularly the S&P 500. BTC’s performance will depend on global monetary policy and risk sentiment as long as the correlation exists. Although rate cuts have helped to boost risk assets, any abrupt reversal in the market could lead Bitcoin into a new period of volatility.

Bitcoin Bull Market Outlook
Bitcoin appears to be well-positioned from a data perspective for the continuation of its bull-cycle. On-chain measures paint an impressive picture of the resilience of the Bitcoin bull. The Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) The shift has occurred from “Anxiety” During the dip, “Belief” zone after the rebound—a transition often seen at macro higher lows. Similar to the Value Days Destroyed (VDD) Multiple This is a resetting of levels which signaled a return to confidence amongst long-term owners, reminiscent of patterns that preceded Bitcoin’s rally in 2016/17 & 2020/21. These metrics indicate structural strength. Long-term holders are aggressively building up supply below $8,000.
The Hash Ribbons indicatorThe recent crossover indicates that miners are increasingly confident in Bitcoins’ profitability. This is a good indicator of trend reversals. This accumulation stage suggests that the Bitcoin bull markets may be preparing themselves for a squeeze in supply, which has been a factor behind parabolic price moves. Collectively, the data shows resilience and not weakness as long-term owners seize this dip as an oportunity. Yet, this strength hinges on more than just on-chain signals—external factors will play a critical role in what comes next.
Bitcoin’s bull market does not operate alone. Bull markets can take time before they gain traction. This is because it takes a steady accumulation of funds and favorable market conditions for the next leg to be launched. While the local bottom between $76K–$77K seems to hold, the path forward won’t likely feature vertical candles of peak euphoria yet. Bitcoin and the dollar S&P 500 Global liquidity trends could lead to volatility arising from changes in monetary policies or risk sentiment.
For example, while rate cut expectations have lifted risk assets, an abrupt reversal—perhaps from inflation spikes or geopolitical shocks—could test Bitcoin’s stability. Even though on-chain data indicates a strong setup, it is likely that the next stage of the Bitcoin bull will unfold in small steps. Investors expecting a return of six-figures prices As the market develops, you will have to be patient.
You can find more information and data on the site. Bitcoin Magazine Pro For valuable insight into the Bitcoin Market.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article should not be construed as financial advice. Before making an investment decision, always do thorough research.
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Source: bitcoinmagazine.com

