The following are key points.
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Bitcoin’s bear market is about to begin if the theory of four-year cycles still holds true.
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BTC’s price target for October 2026 is $50,000.
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Bitcoin is currently fighting a resistance line which could lead to a $100,000 test of support.
BitcoinBTCA four-year period could end just a month later, leading to a $50k collapse.
New comments JoaoWedson, the founder and CEO at Alphractal’s crypto analytics platform, has also set a price target of $140,000 BTC.
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Wedson believes that, amid misgivings regarding the future of the stock market, there is a possibility for a bear market to begin in October.
The charts are available for download on the website. “Repetition Fractal Cycle” To X, he demonstrated that BTC/USD was approaching the point when historically bear markets take control.
“Of course, it would be reckless to assume that Bitcoin has only a little over one month left in this cycle based solely on this chart,” He acknowledged.
“Still, I can’t help but think — this could be just enough time for BTC to dip toward the $100K range before rocketing past $140K within the same period. Who would dare to doubt that scenario?”
Wedson notes this cycle as being unlike previous ones, thanks to Bitcoin’s rise to asset status and the involvement of institutional investors.
“The real question is whether this fractal will remain reliable in the face of heavy speculation around ETFs and growing institutional demand,” He said.
If it occurs at the same time as the bear-market calendar for the US macroassets, then a US macroassets bear market may be the final nail to the coffin of Bitcoin bulls.
It boils down the the state of the 4-year price cycle amid increasing debate over its relevance In 2025, there will be a new generation of borrowers.
If bears strengthen and October arrives, the BTC bottom target prices, which were already ambitious, will now be boosted by one level for October 2026. Wedson stated:
“Personally, I’m eager to see whether the new wave of crypto enthusiasts are right in claiming the 4-year cycle is over and Bitcoin will now rise endlessly — or if 2025 marks the final breath before a sharp correction, with prices possibly sinking below $50K in the 2026 bear market.”
Everyone is watching the $100 BTC price war
You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph continues to reportMarket participants are in favour of $100,000 support as part the current correction.
Related: Bitcoin short-term holders spark rare BTC price bottom signal at $107K
A trader has even predicted that this event will occur in the next week. The bull market is over, he said, if bulls cannot hold $100,000.
BTC/USD has reached a current rate of USD/BTC. attempting to break through The downward trendline has been used as the floor for the prices throughout the entire correction which began mid-August.
“This 1 chart decides if $BTC breaks below $100K or breaks to new ATH,” trader Killa told X follows Thursday

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Source: cointelegraph.com

