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Home»Bitcoin»MSTR BTC MVRV Strategy Could have helped MSTR gain an additional 50K bitcoin

MSTR BTC MVRV Strategy Could have helped MSTR gain an additional 50K bitcoin

Bitcoin By Gavin26/09/2025
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Is Bitcoin’s Sell-off Driven By Dormant BTC Wallet Activity?
Is Bitcoin’s Sell-off Driven By Dormant BTC Wallet Activity?
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Bitcoin Treasury companies are now one of the major demand generators in this cycle. 86 companies are publicly listed and collectively hold over 1 million BTC. MSTR Strategy (2020) was the first to adopt this strategy, and it has now spread throughout corporate America. A closer look at the purchase histories of many companies reveals that they could have accumulated much more Bitcoin if only they followed a rules-based accumulation strategy.

MSTR is the leader in Bitcoin Treasury Holdings

MSTR (Strategy), with its almost 640,000 BTC, remains at the top of corporate Bitcoin users. All across Top Public Bitcoin Treasury CompaniesOver 1 million BTC are now locked up, which reduces the liquid supply permanently and increases Bitcoin’s currency premium. (Assuming, of course that they don’t sell!) The data shows, however, that this was a positive net for Bitcoin’s economics of supply and demand.

Figure 1: More than 1,000,000 BTC are now held by public Treasury companies. View Live Table

MSTR’s example: buying the top of Bitcoin cycles

Take a look at the following: MSTR’s (Strategy) activity An example. As Bitcoin soared to $70,000 after ETF approvals, the company allocated some of its largest amounts in late 2024. The treasury industry as a whole showed a similar pattern, with front-loading during periods of euphoria.

MSTR treasury purchases cluster around cycle peaks rather than troughs.
Figure 2 shows that many treasury purchase tend to cluster at cycle peaks, rather than troughs. View Live Charts

Although this is a reasonable explanation (capital can be raised more easily when the market is booming and sentiment is high), it often leads to treasury firms overpaying. In fact, backtesting shows that waiting for even modest pullbacks could have saved firms 10–30% on average compared to their actual entry prices. Nobody has a crystal-ball to tell the future. price At the very least it would be helpful to not buy immediately following a triple-digit percent gain in just a few short weeks.

MSTR and Treasurys can benefit from a simple MVRV data-driven fix

The use of the MVRV Ratio Filter. This is not an overly complex method. The approach doesn’t rely upon subjective judgment or try to determine exact bottoms. The rolling MVRV threshold is used to prevent allocations during bull markets’ most heated phases.

Using MVRV-based signals, BTC accumulation can be effectively timed.
Figure 3 shows how BTC accumulation could be timed effectively using MVRV-based indicators. View Live Chart

MSTR Strategy would have nearly 685, 000 BTC in today’s market, a whopping 50,000 BTC higher than what it has now.

That’s more than $5 billion worth of additional Bitcoin at current prices. This is a lot of bitcoin. “missed” Bitcoins are roughly equal to the lifetime value of all other currencies. Active Bitcoin Treasury Companies Marathon Digital is excluded

A simple MVRV-based filter would have yielded ~50,000 more BTC for MSTR (Strategy).
Figure 4: The simple MVRV filter could have produced 50,000 BTC more for MSTR.

The same frameworks have been tested on other markets such as altcoins, equities, and even the S&P 500, and they consistently outperform blind dollar-cost averaging. Dollar-cost averages that are based on strategy outperform emotional ones, in most cases.

MSTR and Individual Investors: Implications

Implementing this model for treasury firms could result in billions of dollars extra over time. Investors can use the same strategy by not chasing upswings at euphoric times and instead letting the markets come to them.

Adopting a more strategic DCA approach, by avoiding the most over-valued dates, would have driven higher returns for MSTR and other investors.
Figure 5: MSTR’s and other investors would have benefited from a strategic DCA, by avoiding overvalued dates.

We must, of course, acknowledge the subtleties. Companies face challenges in terms of raising capital and trading large blocks without slippage. They also have to manage shareholder expectations. A simple data-driven algorithm could improve the outcome even if you are working within certain limits.

MSTR’s path to smarter Bitcoin accumulation

Bitcoin treasury firms have had a huge net benefit for the Bitcoin community. The combined holdings of 1,000,000 BTC reduce the supply, increases the money multiplier, and highlights the increasing institutional adoption. However, the data suggests that many of them are doing worse than they should. MSTR’s (Strategy), by avoiding overheated purchases, would have earned an additional 50,000 BTC today.

Both corporations and individuals should take note: Discipline outperforms FOMO. The Treasury’s accumulation of Bitcoin has changed the landscape. But the next step may be to adopt smarter strategies for accumulation that will maximize returns, limit volatility and minimize risk without increasing the market.

Watch our latest YouTube video for a deeper look at this subject:
This Simple Bitcoin Strategy Would Have Made Them Billions


To get more information, graphs, and charts about bitcoin prices, please visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com.

Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube More expert market insight and analysis is available!


Bitcoin Magazine Pro

This is not financial advice. Disclaimer: The information contained in this article should only be used for educational purposes. Before making an investment decision, always do thorough research.

“This article is not financial advice.”

“Always do your own research before making any type of investment.”

“ItsDailyCrypto is not responsible for any activities you perform outside ItsDailyCrypto.”

Source: bitcoinmagazine.com

ai Bitcoi bitcoin btc c coin io MSTR MVRV OI S Strategy
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