Bitcoin has been impacted by the dynamically changing market conditions and geopolitical stories. Its previous price of $93K is now significantly lower. BTC was hit hardest by the Monday Blues when it fell below $88K, causing a spiral downward for the token. After weighing in the present situation, it has been decided to readjust the prediction of the token’s price. Bitcoin’s (BTC), will it be able regain its glory again? Find out.
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What will happen to Bitcoin’s lost crown of $100K?
Bitcoin’s price has dropped dramatically over the past 24 hours. The token currently sits at $88K and is down 3% from the previous 24 hours. Major altcoins are down in value significantly over the last day, indicating a high level of volatility on the cryptocurrency market. BTC is experiencing a downward spiral due to Trump’s aggressive trade policy. US President Donald Trump decided again to impose trade tariffs with Canada and Mexico. The markets have been affected by this development.
The markets are also now adjusting their Bitcoin price predictions. Kalshi believes that BTC will reach a peak of $125,000 in 2025, based on its current momentum and pace. Analysts had previously predicted that Bitcoin would reach a peak of $150,000. After weighing recent changes in the market and stories that are affecting BTC most, the markets have updated their predictions.
“Prediction markets no longer see $150,000 Bitcoin in 2025: Markets now see Bitcoin rising to $124,000 as the base case for 2025, down $25,000 since January, per @Kalshi. Furthermore, markets now see just a 36% chance of Bitcoin hitting $150,000 this year. 1 month ago, prediction markets saw a 40% chance of Bitcoin hitting $150,000 by July. This is the largest drop in expectations in over 6 months.”
No longer do prediction markets see Bitcoin at $150,000 in 2025.
The market now expects Bitcoin to reach $124,000 by 2025. This is down $25,000 from January. @Kalshi.
Markets now only see a 36% probability that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 in this year.
1 month ago,… pic.twitter.com/WdDMwRtvL2
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) February 25, 2025
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What do the technical markers say?
Platforms like Kalshi, which has its own predictions in place CoinCodex Have a story of their own to share. According to CC, Bitcoin could rise up and reach a price of $129K at the end of 2025.

“According to our current Bitcoin price prediction, the price of Bitcoin is predicted to rise by 46.78% and reach $ 129,657 by December 30, 2025. Per our technical indicators, the current sentiment is Bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 25 (Extreme Fear). Bitcoin recorded 12/30 (40%) green days with 3.06% price volatility over the last 30 days. Based on the Bitcoin forecast, it’s now a bad time to buy BTC.”
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Source: watcher.guru

