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Home»Bitcoin»What is the probability of a Bitcoin bear market? The Historical Level Could Be a Hint

What is the probability of a Bitcoin bear market? The Historical Level Could Be a Hint

Bitcoin By Gavin19/02/2025
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Bitcoin Traders Capitulate Heres What Happened Last 2 Times
Bitcoin Traders Capitulate Heres What Happened Last 2 Times
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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

In the past, a Bitcoin on-chain boundary has been used to define bear markets. The price of the asset is shown in relation to this line.

Bitcoin Price is Above the Realized Value of All Major Cohorts at this Moment

The new post Ki Young Ju, the CEO and founder of CryptoQuant, has spoken on X about the current Realized Price for Bitcoin investors.

The “Realized PriceHere, ” refers an on-chain metric that tracks the average cost basis for investors on the BTC Network. The spot price above the indicator indicates that the investors as a group are profiting, whereas the value below the indicator shows that the majority of them is in loss.

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This chart shows the trends in the values of four Bitcoin cohorts.

Price of coin seems to be above these levels | Source: @ki_young_ju on X

Bitcoin, as can be seen in the graph above, is currently above the current Realized Prices of each of these groups. Therefore, their members will all have some unrealized profits.

The average cost of the cohorts historically has been a significant factor for the crypto. The chart shows that the cryptocurrency price generally follows a bullish trend whenever the Price is above the Actual Price. New Whales Orange-colored (color)

New Whales (also known as Short-Term Holding Whales) are BTC holders who have purchased coins in the last 155 days, and hold more than 1,000 BTC. For this group, the Realized price is $89300. If the current bearish trend continues, BTC might be under threat of being re-tested.

The level is not a definitive indicator of the bear market. Instead, it indicates a lack in Bitcoin’s momentum. BTC will have to stay above the Miner Whales levels (green) in order to keep a bullish environment.

Miner Whales is a term used to describe wallets You can also find out more about the following: mining companies This is a hold Over 1,000 BTC. CryptoQuant’s founder explained that BTC’s falls below the mark in the past two cycles led to bear market.

The current Realized Price for Miner Whales stands at $58,000. Bitcoin’s current price would need to be reduced by almost 40% to reach this level. BTC can be viewed as safe for now if the price level is indeed a new boundary in the current bear market cycle.

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When the assets tend to break both above or below their cost base over a period of time, they have never done so under the realized price of the last group of cohorts: the Old Whales and Long-Term Owner Whales.

They are currently acquiring Bitcoin at an average of $26,000. These whales have been holding Bitcoin with a resolute attitude since 155 days.

BTC price

Bitcoin dropped under $94,000 yesterday. It now appears, however, that it has found its way back up to $96,200.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Source:| Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Image is from Dall E. Charts are from TradingView.com.

“This article is not financial advice.”

“Always do your own research before making any type of investment.”

“ItsDailyCrypto is not responsible for any activities you perform outside ItsDailyCrypto.”

Source: www.newsbtc.com

bitcoin bitcoin bear market Bitcoin Cost-Basis Bitcoin Realized Price btc BTCUSDT
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