It is important to note that the word “you” means “you”. bitcoin price Recent retraced almost $10,000 After setting a record high, $124,000 On August 14, On August 14, $114,000-115,000 Range has reignited discussion about the end of bull market. In percentage terms the movement is only a Retracement of 7.8% — a normal fluctuation for bitcoin. Analyzing on-chain data and ETF flow, as well as macro conditions can help us determine whether or not this is a cycle end, but rather a reset that will lead to further gains.
Bitcoin price action and technicals
- It is important to note that the word “you” means a person. Bitcoin price Stay well clear of major areas.
- There is stability in the area of the pullback. The 50-day Moving AverageWhile the A 100-day MA for $110,000 The May peak offers an additional convergence.
- Historical retracements 30%+ This is a common occurrence in bull markets 7.8% decline It is a relatively minor issue.
Bitcoin Price and Long Term Holder Confidence
- Data shows that Long-term Holders (LTHs – Long term heating systems) Increase your bitcoin supplySignaling a refusal to sell current products at the price level.
- It suggests that there are two possibilities:
- Veterans expect higher rates Bitcoin price In the future.
- The new demand temporarily slows, causing a short-term slump.
Bitcoin and ETFs Inflows
- Net inflows have slowed after peaking along with the Bitcoin price.
- The recent drop in flows is consistent with the market’s highs when averaged out over 28 days. Deceleration in new capital flows It is better to reverse the direction of the change than a total reversal.
- Continued ETF demand is critical to the future of the Bitcoin price rally.
Bitcoin and its derivatives: Market signals
- Recent sessions have seen a decline in funding rates, which means that most traders are now betting against them. Bitcoin price.
- Historically, the negative rates of funding often occur together with Local Bottoms This is followed by sharp rebounds.
- It is clear that this supports the idea of the Bull market bitcoin prices It’s not the end.
Bitcoin price and global liquidity trends
- The global M2 money supply is stagnant, resulting in a slowdown of the fiat liquidation flowing into bitcoin and other speculative investments.
- It is important to note that the word “you” means “you”. Bitcoin price remains correlated to U.S. equities, particularly the S&P 500, which has also retraced after new highs.
- The Federal Reserve could be a catalyst to both the equity market and the economy if it pivots towards rate reductions. Bitcoin price They are on the rise again.
Bitcoin price cycle outlook: consolidation before higher levels
- In the short-term, a further decline to $110,000 This level of support is not only possible but also very strong.
- The sideways movement could be extended in the medium-term. 2026 If the cycles lengthen, then you should be concerned.
- On the long-term, neither on-chain nor macro indicators indicate a top in the cycle. Instead, all evidence suggests that there is more upside for the Bitcoin price As soon as a new need arises,
The conclusion of the article is:
The recent drop in $10,000 felt significant, but it only amounts to less that an A 8% increase in bitcoin’s price — a routine correction in the context of previous bull cycles. The long-term investors are still holding on, ETF flows continue to be positive, though they have slowed, and data from derivatives suggests that shorts may get caught. Most importantly, we need to see new liquidity and inflows of capital.
This is the case for all cases. Bitcoin’s bull market is not over. The retracement of recent price movements is not a sign that the market has ended, rather it’s merely a stop.
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Source: bitcoinmagazine.com

