Why could Ethereum’s first ETF spot approval push its price up to $10,000? Find out what factors are driving the bullish market.
EthereumETHETH ETF is the focus of attention as the entire crypto-world awaits its launch. ETH’s price is $3,447 as of July 2. This represents a 0.33% drop in the past 24 hours.
ETH fell to a new monthly low on the 24th of June, $3244 Since then it has recovered sharply and gained about 6% from the low. The stronger price movement for ETH indicates bullish sentiments, as the market is anticipating the upcoming ETF.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is responsible for regulating the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.SEC() decided to postpone the launch of Ethereum ETFs, which was highly anticipated.
Initial planned to launch in mid-July, it has been moved back due to comments by SEC about the S-1s submitted by prospective issuers. They now have until 7/7/17 to submit revised versions of their forms. Launching the new S-1 form could be delayed to as late as mid-July.
The launch of this website is the second step in a two-step process. The approval of the form 19b-4 is the first step. completed In May. The S-1 form, which represents the second stage, does not have a deadline. This leaves issuers to the SEC review schedule.
Understanding the Ethereum market and its updates will help us to better understand what the ETF is going to be.
Ethereum updates
Ethereum has been humming with excitement as it gears up for its launch of the first spot ETF. Vitalik Buterin is the co-founder of Ethereum. shared A blog detailing the most recent developments and goals in the Ethereum eco-system.
Ethereum’s main focus is on improving the transaction confirmation time. Due to EIP-1559 implementation and consistency in block times after Merge, Ethereum’s Layer 1 Network (L1) confirms transactions within 5-20 sec.
Some applications, however, require confirmation times measured in milliseconds. Buterin suggested possible changes.
Gasper, Ethereum’s existing consensus mechanism, uses slot-and-epoch technology. This system allows validators to vote for the chain head once every 12 second. The process takes about 6.4 minute (32 slots) before all validators have cast their votes. After two epochs (or 12.8 minutes), the finality is reached, providing strong economic assurance. This process, however, is slow and complex.
Buterin proposes single-slot Finality (SSF) to streamline and accelerate the process. SSF finalizes each block instead of waiting on multiple slots or epochs. The approach is similar to Tendermint, but still retains Ethereum. “inactivity leak” The mechanism that allows the chain to be recovered if one or more validators cease to function.
SSF, however, requires validators publish two messages once every 12 seconds. This presents a problem. Orbit SSF, a recent proposal that suggests methods for reducing this workload.
Ethereum, meanwhile, is moving towards a roadmap that is centered around rollups. While the L1 layer focuses on security and data accessibility, the Layer 2 solutions (L2) like rollups are responsible for the bulk of the transactions.
Rollups provide the same safety as Ethereum, with greater speed. Nevertheless, users are looking for even faster confirmations.
In order to combat this problem, preconfirmations based on rollups have been suggested. In this method, a small group of validators will quickly endorse blocks to provide faster assurances for users. These pre-confirmations can be eventually published on L1 for security and to provide finality.
This preconfirmation method uses advanced Ethereum developers to provide preconfirmations. Users may pay a small fee to guarantee that their transaction will be included in the following block. The proposer is penalized for not fulfilling their promise. The same mechanism is applicable to L2s and facilitates faster confirmation of transactions.
The demand for ETH could be increased by faster confirmations of transactions and simpler consensus mechanisms. The launch of the spot ETH ETF is approaching, and these improvements can boost the market’s confidence.
Ethereum Gas Fees and Total Value Locked (TVL Levels)
Two critical elements of Ethereum’s ecosystem are brought into sharp focus as Ethereum prepares to launch its first ETH spot ETF. gas fees The total amount locked is (TVL).
Ethereum is a transaction-based blockchain that relies on gas fees to cover transactions. smart contract Validator Rewards can reduce network security costs and encourage validators to improve their performance.
There has been an important drop in gas fees. Dune Analytics reports that the average gasoline fee for June 30 was just 3 Gwei. This is equivalent to only $0.14. Last year’s median gasoline prices were between 15 and 20, with the highest price being 83 Gwei in March of this year.
This decline was caused by a number of factors. Analysts attribute this to the increased efficiency of the Layer 1 market (L1), which is driven by the expansion of Layer 2 activity (L2) and the introduction “blob transactions” EIP-4844 enhances Ethereum’s scaling.
Ethereum becomes more affordable with a lower gas fee, potentially encouraging broader adoption. Gas fees that are affordable can also stimulate the development of sectors such as decentralized finance.DeFi( NFTsPrior to this, high transaction costs were a hindrance.
TVL, on the other hand, represents all capital within Ethereum’s DeFi eco-system, which is a crucial metric in determining network health. TVL for ETH has been declining recently. declined. The latest figures show that after reaching a peak of $67 billion, on 6 June it now stands at $59.45billion. That represents an 11.3% drop.
The decline is a continuation of the growth seen earlier in the year, but it remains far below its all-time peak in November 2021 at $106 billion. This coincides with ETH’s highest price.
A number of factors have contributed to the current trend. The volatility in the cryptocurrency market has affected investor confidence.
Lower gas costs could also reverse TVL’s decline, by encouraging more developers and users of Ethereum-based apps, and enhancing its overall value proposition.
Next steps:
Matt Hougan is a crypto expert and an ETF specialist. He predicts Ethereum ETPs will generate $15 billion of net flow in their first 18-months.
The relative size of Bitcoin, Ethereum and the current investment trends for crypto ETPs in Europe and Canada are used to calculate this figure.
Bitcoin ETPs are more popular in these areas, and their assets roughly match the market capitalization of Ethereum ETPs. Hougan expects a trend similar in the U.S. where ETH will capture approximately 22%, which is slightly below its market cap of 26%.
Hougan continues to explain that U.S. investor currently has $56 billion in spot Bitcoin ETPs. It is expected to reach $100 billion by 2025.
He estimates spot Ethereum ETPs to need 35 billion dollars in Assets Under Management (AUM) for them to be on par with Bitcoin. ETHE’s launch will have $10 billion of assets. The net amount required to reach parity with Bitcoin is about $25 billion.
Comparing these figures with the European and Canadian markets, where Ethereum ETPs hold about 22-23% of the total crypto ETP market—slightly lower than ETH’s market cap weight—Hougan finds consistency across geographies, reinforcing his confidence in the estimate.
Hougan’s net flow estimates were revised down from $18 billion to $15 billion after adjusting for lower expected relative demand.
Market sentiment is also positive surrounding Ethereum ETFs. Andrey Stoychev is the head of Prime Brokerage at Nexo. believes ETH may reach $10,000 before the end of this year. This suggests that ETH ETFs could be used in Asia and the U.S. to drive ETH up, matching Bitcoin’s performance after the ETF.
Ethereum’s value could increase substantially if capital inflows are as predicted.
As always, you must remain vigilant and aware of the potential risks as well as the benefits associated with crypto markets. Never invest more money than you are willing to lose.
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Source: crypto.news

