Bitcoin traders discuss new highs into Fed rate cut decision

BitcoinBTCAs the US Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision, traders are preparing for volatility.

• The $117,000 resistance is a major hurdle for Bitcoin bulls as we begin the week.

• The markets are unanimous in their expectation that the Fed will announce the first rate cut for 2025 on Wednesday.

• The BTC forecasting tool is historically accurate and predicts new all-time Bitcoin highs within a few weeks.

• The Binance Order Book data suggests that there were large purchases over the weekend.

• In the last week the institutional demand for BTC was nine times higher than the available supply.

TradFi return brings about a change in Bitcoin prices

As TradFi returns, the volatility of Bitcoin prices is increasing. Cointelegraph Markets Pro The following are some examples of how to get started: TradingView reveals.

BTC/USD has continued to be rejected at the $117,000 level, which is a key point for traders.

$BTC / $USD Update

Now, knocking at the $117,000 door. It’s time to move on. pic.twitter.com/58YifZnkLE

— Crypto Tony (@CryptoTony__) September 15, 2025

“$BTC got rejected from the $117,00-$117,200 region. This is the only key level to reclaim for Bitcoin now,” Ted Pillows is a successful crypto investor, and has told his audience about it in a recent tweet. latest post On X. 

“If BTC fails to reclaim this soon, the chances of a correction towards $113,500 or lower will go up.”

The Data of CoinGlass The order book of the stock exchange shows that there is a significant amount of liquidity immediately above $117,000 and below, bids have been eaten up by price.

CrypNuevo, a fellow trader at CrypNuevo, suggested that 113,000 dollars could be re-added to the equation around Wednesday’s US Federal Reserve rate decision.

“I think it could drop max to $113k-$112k this week,” A part of a X thread The Sunday Release said.

Fed rate cut talk dominates

The US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates this week for the first times since 2025.

Markets expect that the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday will result in a 0.25 percent rate reduction. CME Group Data FedWatch Tool The chance is even greater that you will get a bigger 0.5% reduction.

This move is unusual. Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter notes that the Fed cut rates only three years ago, when stock prices were near their all-time highest.

What happens as a result should please risk-asset bulls — including Bitcoin hodlers.

“There will be more immediate-term volatility, but long-term asset owners will party. Why do we think that? Because interest rate cuts are coming into rising inflation and the AI Revolution, only adding fuel to the fire,” It is written in the X thread On Sept. 13,

“Gold and Bitcoin have known this. The straight-line higher price action we have seen in these asset classes is pricing-in what’s coming.”

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedFed will be faced with the difficult task of balancing the hot inflation and the worsening employment market conditions.

“While inflation remains a problem for the Fed, the central bank’s focus has clearly shifted toward supporting the labor market,” In the most recent edition of their regular newsletter “, trading firm Mosaic Asset Company summarised its latest news.The Market Mosaic.”

Mosaic cited recent downward revisions of job data, noting that the market “pricing several rate cuts ahead.”

“There’s a 100% chance the Fed will reduce rates when it meets this week…the only question is by how much,” It is important to stress. 

“Either way, a new rate cutting cycle is set to begin at a time when financial conditions are already loose and the stock market is signaling a positive growth outlook.”

The Bitcoin bull market may have reached its peak. “just weeks away”

The topic of predicting when the bull market in Bitcoin will end is a hotly debated one amongst market participants.

Some people believe $124.500 will stay the same until the next cycle. While others prepare for their final price exploration.

$BTC 1W

Bull divs still exist on 1W. Couldn’t surprise if we get a quick retest at 112k and then slightly higher.

It’s important to note that I am not expecting a new ATH, or a continuation of the bull market. There are many other factors which could be considered bearish including an increase in profit taking. pic.twitter.com/bXNSCtp78x

— Roman (@Roman_Trading) September 15, 2025

Joao W. Wedson is the founder and CEO at Alphractal of Alphractal’s crypto analytics platform. He tapped on his phone to check in with him over the weekend. historically accurate BTC Price Forecasting Tool as Proof

He reported that the Max Intersect SMA Model, which uses simple moving averages and algorithmic analyses to pinpoint bull markets tops, had not flashed yet for this cycle.

“Max Intersect SMA Model hasn’t signaled this cycle’s top yet, but it’s getting very close,” You can find out more about this by clicking here. X post Wedson believes that the top could be explained “just weeks away.”

According to the accompanying charts, $140,000 is the highest target.

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedCompare the bull market to previous ones and you will see that it is unlikely to peak before October.

A golden cross on the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator at the start of September, meanwhile, delivered a bold $160,000 target Again, based on historic patterns.

Binance signs large volume buying

Binance, Binance’s largest crypto-exchange, has hinted at a BTC shortage as a way to give bulls a boost.

CryptoQuant, a blockchain analytics platform, has concluded that Binance was likely the scene of a major buyer’s activity this past weekend. Arab Chain pointed to Binance Scarcity Index Tool as proof.

“The index jumps when immediate buying power exceeds available supply, as if buyers are racing to acquire Bitcoin on the market,” CryptoQuant is a “Quicktake” blog posts.

“This type of spike is often linked to positive news or sudden capital inflows. The same pattern occurred last June and persisted for several days, after which Bitcoin climbed to around $124,000.”

Arab Chain confirmed that spikes in index prices preceded periods of consolidation. It said that the current rise in prices must last for several days.

“The scarcity index has seen a sharp rise in recent months, reaching all-time highs (above +6) before quickly declining toward neutral and even negative territory,” What is being observed?

On Sunday, the index was 2.94. CryptoQuant data.

BTC mined recently is destroyed by ETFs

Crypto exchange-traded product (Crypto ETP) has seen large inflows of BTC.

Related: Bitcoin miner accumulation hits fastest pace since 2023 rally

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedThe US Bitcoin ETFs saw net flows of $2.3billion last week.

Keith Alan (co-founder Material Indicators) suggested the institutional interest in Bitcoin will eventually lead to a new record high.

“Why? Because there is simply too much institutional demand, and that demand is growing,” He explained it at the weekend.

Glassnode, a firm that performs on-chain analyses noted The ETFs saw their biggest single-day inflows since July, with 5,900 BTC.

“This pushed weekly net flows positive, reflecting renewed ETF demand as BTC consolidates above the $114k level,” It was observed.

One common argument involves the fact that the institutional buying outweighs the new coins added by the miners to BTC.

Andre Dragosch was the European head of research for Bitwise’s crypto asset manager. calculated Last week’s inflows were almost nine times more than the new-mined production.

This article contains no investment recommendations or advice. Each investment or trading decision involves some risk. Readers should do their own research before making any decisions.