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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio Hits Zero At Potential Market Bottom

Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio Hits Zero At Potential Market Bottom

Bitcoin By Gavin25/11/2025
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The Sharpe Ratio, a technical indicator for Bitcoin, is now at levels that are usually only seen when major markets have reached their bottoms.

Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio is at “a level historically associated with moments of maximum uncertainty and the early stages of risk repricing,” said CryptoQuant analyst I. Moreno was on hand to discuss the issue with you Monday.

Analysts have noted that Bitcoin has entered the same range as in 2019 and 2020. The ratio was at this time. “structurally depressed levels” Before new multimonth trending appeared, he stated. 

“This does not guarantee a bottom, but it does indicate that the quality of future returns is starting to improve, provided the market stabilizes, and volatility begins to normalize.”

Sharpe ratio is a measure of return against risk. If it’s near zero it indicates Bitcoin.BTC() is a poor investment due to the volatility of its returns.

Smart money can be detected by the Bitcoin Sharpe ratio

In history, new uptrends on the long term have frequently been preceded by periods with low Sharpe. smart money The risk-reward ratio improves as it increases. The Sharpe ratio should be high when buying at euphoric peak. 

In early 2024, when the markets exploded and Bitcoin reached $73,000 for its first time, the ratio soared to 50. 

Related: Bitcoin rallies as US dollar strengthens: Are crypto traders walking into a trap? 

The analyst warned that the trend has not yet recovered. 

“Bitcoin is not yet signaling trend recovery, but it is signaling that the risk-adjusted landscape is becoming more attractive for forward returns.”

Bitcoin’s Sharpe Ratio has dropped to zero. Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin has seen massive movements in the past week

Glassnode data onchain shows that more than 8 percent of Bitcoins were moved during the week.

In the seven-year period, this has only happened twice: in December 2018, and in March 2020. 

“This makes the latest drawdown one of the most significant onchain events in Bitcoin’s history,” commented Joe Burnett, Director of Bitcoin Strategy at Semler Scientific. 

In just ten days, BTC dumped The Friday low was around $82,000, a staggering 23% or more than $24,000. Since then, it has decreased by approximately recovered slightlyThe late Monday trading saw a total of $89,000 traded.

Source: Glassnode. Glassnode 

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