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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin price volatility signals ignite for 2026 TradeFi return

Bitcoin price volatility signals ignite for 2026 TradeFi return

Bitcoin By Gavin01/01/2026
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Is Bitcoin’s Sell-off Driven By Dormant BTC Wallet Activity?
Is Bitcoin’s Sell-off Driven By Dormant BTC Wallet Activity?
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BitcoinBTCThe first Wall Street session of 2026 began with the markets at $87.500.

The following are key points.

  • Bitcoin is waiting at $87.500 to start trading TradFi on the global markets.

  • The Bollinger Band and RSI signals indicate that BTC is about to experience a major price fluctuation.

  • The four-year theory of price cycles is no more.

Traders brace for 2023-style BTC price volatility

The Data of TradingView Tracked a calm beginning to the new annual candle for Bitcoin. This capped a bleak quarter for bulls.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Before TradFi returned, traders had mixed feelings about the future of crypto markets.

“New year, fresh start. We have a locked in 3-day bull div, right on top of key support,” Jelle, the trader summarized his summary analysis On X. 

Jelle spoke of a divergence in favor of the bulls on the Relative Strength Index (RSIThe indicator is displayed on a three-day basis.

“$BTC looks good for upside this quarter,” He also added.

BTC/USD 3-day chart with RSI. Source: Jelle/X

Quantdata21, an analytics account, predicted BTC volatility due to a low weekly RSI index and a record-breaking narrowing of the Bollinger Bands Volatility Index.

The following are some of the ways to get in touch with us. Cointelegraph reportedBollinger BandWidth, an indicator derivative of the Bollinger BandWidth was breaking new records in Q4 and a significant upward trend was expected.

“There is only one other occasion that daily bollinger band width has squeezed this tight with weekly RSI below 40,” Quantdata21 wrote Wednesday. 

“That was january 2023, and we all know what happened to bitcoin from there.”

Chart of BTC/USD with Bollinger Band Width and one-week RSI. Source: Quantdata21/X

Bitcoin’s four-year cycles meet “new era”

BTC/USD finished its first year at a record low in Bitcoin’s price performance. “red” Twelve-month candle after halving the year.

Related: Bitfinex whales go long BTC for 2026: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

The question of whether BTC’s four-year price cycle is still relevant was raised.

$BTC Just closed the year of its halving in red for first ever

The law of the nature was never cycles.

It was a pattern of liquidity.

Different macro, different participants different constraints.

Bitcoins are not what broke.

What broke was the assumption that timing stays… pic.twitter.com/QCHF2J32tc

— Cipher X (@Cipher2X) January 1, 2026

“RIP Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle,” Simon Dixon is the founder and CEO Bnk To The Future’s Bitcoin security firm. told X Followers on the Day

Dixon stated that the year 2026 will be a landmark in history. “new era” Bitcoin, in view of the 4-year cycle breakdown.

BTC/USD 12-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As a result, Cointelegraph reportedIn the coming years, different forecasts predict new record highs. Michael Saylor (CEO of Strategy) and other executives made frequent calls for $150,000.

In the short term, meanwhile, crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe began the countdown to $90,000.

“I would suggest, given that more and more doors are opening for people to invest into $BTC, that we’re going to test $90K in the coming week and start breaking upwards,” He concluded.

BTC/USDT chart for four hours with RSI. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

The article is not intended to provide investment advice. Risk is inherent in every investment decision and trade. The reader should always do research prior to making their decisions. Cointelegraph strives to deliver accurate, timely and reliable information. However, Cointelegraph cannot guarantee that the information contained in this article is complete, accurate, or reliable. This article might contain risky and uncertain forward-looking statements. Cointelegraph shall not be responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of this information.