Bitcoin prediction markets predict that BTC will not go above $138K by 2025.

Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency (BTCNew analysis shows that ) maintains its $138,000 2025 price target as the US tariffs on trade have caused a market recovery.

Data Polymarket, a prediction service that covers bets, suggests BTC/USD may still rise around 60% this year.

“Conservative” Polymarket users limit BTC price increases to 60%

Bitcoin bull-market projections are down this quarter, thanks to a series of setbacks affecting cryptos and risky assets in general.

A recent assessment of the potential BTC prices on Polymarket suggests that the bull-market cycle could be limited to around 60% by 2026.

Ashwin uploaded the results to X on 27 March and shows that prices bets go down to as low as $59,000.

“The great thing about this analysis is that it not only provides a market sentiment score, like the Fear and Greed Index, but also attaches to it the expected price target for both bearish and bullish scenarios,” He explained. 

“This offers a reference to compare one’s price prediction with the market’s.”

Ashwin deconstructed a methodology that was used to evaluate odds for multiple Polymarket Arenas. The resultant BTC Price Range ranged between $59 040 and $138 617.

“The $138k Bitcoin price target may not seem bullish to most Bitcoiners, who are accustomed to hearing hyperbolic valuations. However, the market remains conservative as it recovers from the Trump tariff uncertainty,” He went on.

Other sites have similar modest price expectations. One average BTC target price is found on Kalshi. stands at $122,000 — just $11,500 beyond current all-time highs.

The risk of Bitcoin’s support failing remains.

Cointelegraph has reported that, in an effort to preserve the overall bull market, participants in the market have set boundaries for price movements.

Related: Bitcoin price just ditched a 3-month downtrend as ‘key shift’ begins

The area surrounding the old highs of $73,800, and the 2021 peak at $69,000.

This month a tool that shows where Bitcoin is headed was released. “won’t be” In the future, give a 95% chance of $69,000 holding.

Aksel kibar, a popular trader who has been in the market for many years, stressed his belief that the $76,000 average yearly must remain.

“Extremely important for the price not to breach the year-long average,” The he told Followers of X on the 26th March.

This article contains no investment recommendations or advice. Each investment or trading decision involves some risk. Readers should do their own research before making any decisions.