Bitcoin only needs a 4% dip to be the worst ‘Uptober” on record

Important points

• Bitcoin’s October performance is set to be the lowest since 2013.

• Bull market years in the past have offered gains of at least 40%.

• Federal Reserve could offer an unexpected reprieve during its meeting next week.

BitcoinBTC) “Uptober” Price threatens first print as the price is in tension “red” The month of October is 2018.

Monitoring Resource Data CoinGlass The current price of BTC/USD shows that it is currently 2.3% lower than its starting monthly level.

BTC’s 4% price drop is the key to a bearish October

Bitcoin bulls are disappointed with October 2025 so far. An early surge towards new record highs has quickly become a liquidation nightmare.

Here is a new way to act narrow range The BTC price is still a long way from the closing monthly candle between $107,000 and 111,500.

CoinGlass shows how far the market is behind: Since 2013, October’s average gain has been around 20%. This would place Bitcoin above $130,000.

BTC/USD can also end the month of October with a mere 4% drop to secure its worst performance for 12 years.

The worst October ever.

Only 2014 was worse (-13%).

2013: +60%
2017: +50%
2021: +40%
2025: -4%

Moonvember is the usual term for Bad Uptober. pic.twitter.com/6BMrNp4afD

— Rekt Fencer (@rektfencer) October 23, 2025

The picture is particularly bad for a bull market year; in 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin gained at least 40% in October.

In 2014, the 10th month had a downward trend of 13%. 

It’s now or never “Uptober” reclaim

Recent data by network economist Timothy Peterson provides a new perspective on the price of 2025 BTC.

Related: Bitcoin price to 6X in 2026? M2 supply boom sparks COVID-19 comparisons

Charts: The recent bull market charts stand out. uploaded to X this week show, but not in the way that bulls would like.

Peterson noticed that, at the start of this month, the bulk of “Uptober” The second half tends to be more positive.

“60% of Bitcoin’s full-year performance occurs after October 3rd,” He added In previous research, September.

It could prove to be an exciting development if the US Federal Reserve announces that it will end quantitative tightening on Oct. 29, at their meeting. “huge signal” Peterson is a marketer. said.

The following are some of the ways to get in touch with us. Cointelegraph reportedExpectations are that the Fed would lower interest rates in spite of a lack inflation data. This will create favourable conditions for cryptocurrency and risk assets moving forward.

The information in this article is neither investment advice nor a recommendation. Risk is inherent in every investment decision and trade. The reader should always do research prior to making a final decision.