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Home»Bitcoin»In the past six months, Bitcoin has performed almost identically to that of 2022

In the past six months, Bitcoin has performed almost identically to that of 2022

Bitcoin By Gavin30/11/2025
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Bitcoin Breakout Is A Trap—Analyst Predicts Pain Before $160,000
Bitcoin Breakout Is A Trap—Analyst Predicts Pain Before $160,000
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BitcoinBTCIn 2025, the ) will repeat its last bull market bottom.

Important points

  • Bitcoin tracks the bear market of 2022 with alarming accuracy. The end of the calendar year is only a month off.

  • BTC prices have been at their lowest levels in November.

  • Crypto ETFs have seen a return in institutional capital as well as a rise in stock flows.

BTC Analysis: “It feels bad because it is”

Grim new BTC price analysis Timothy Peterson is the network economist who concludes this year’s events are remarkably similar to those of 2022.

Bitcoin has disappointed bulls with its 36% comedown from all-time highs — just when many believed that the bull market’s biggest gains were about to hit.

As the final month of 2025 approaches, BTC/USD has not been bullish. Peterson data suggests that BTC/USD is mimicking the last bottom of its bear market.

“2H2025 Bitcoin is the same as 2H2022 Bitcoin,” In a message on X Sat, he informed his fans. 

Daily and monthly, there is a striking correlation between the year 2018 and 2022. Daily correlation is at 80% and the equivalent monthly has reached 98%.

The chart below shows that, if past history is repeated again, the BTC price may not recover until late in Q1 2019.

BTC price correlation data. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

“It feels bad because it is bad,” Peterson wrote In the previous week’s analysis, we talked about the November results. 

“This month ranks in the bottom 10% of daily price paths since 2015.”

BTC performance November comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedThe ‘a’ “red” BTC/USD November historically delivers the same outcome in December, though with less intensity.

The crypto ETFs may be the end of a massive investor exodus

Even a small change in sentiment can deliver classic results “Santa rally” Before the end of the year, you should review your risk assets.

Related: Crypto bull market signal: ERC-20 stablecoin supply preserves $185B record

Crypto was clearly more affected than stock prices during last month’s decline, though signs of recovery are rapidly increasing.

The Kobeissi Letter has announced figures that Bloomberg and JPMorgan will be reporting this weekend. “massive inflows” US Equities.

In the past five months, $450 billion has been invested in equity funds.

“By contrast, other asset class funds have pulled in just +$100 billion,” It is a good idea to get a hold of someone else. commented. 

“Put differently, equities have attracted more inflows than all other asset classes COMBINED. Equity inflows remain remarkably strong.”

Macro asset class inflows. The Kobeissi letter/X

You can also find out more about the following: latest data The US-based exchange traded funds for Bitcoin and Ether are a good example. However, the reality is that this market has seen its worst. institutional crypto sell-off Could be the past.

Bitcoin ETFs ended Thanksgiving Week with $220 billion of inflows while Ether counterparts received $312 millions.

US Spot Bitcoin, Ether ETF (screenshot) Source: Farside Investors

The article is not intended to provide investment advice. Risk is inherent in every investment decision and trade. The reader should always do research prior to making a final decision.