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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin Signaling Is A Typical Signal “Very Bullish,” Expert Says

Bitcoin Signaling Is A Typical Signal “Very Bullish,” Expert Says

Bitcoin By Gavin19/07/2024
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A Bitcoin analyst pointed out the fact that Bitcoin was back over the cost basis for short-term owners, an indication of a positive sign.

Bitcoin Price is Back Above Realized Prices of Short-Term Investors

Maartunn, community manager at CryptoQuant in a recent article, explains the new CryptoQuant video. post BTC has reclaimed on X the price of those who hold short term. The “Realized PriceThe indicator “here” is an indicator which, in brief, tracks the average cost of investors on the Bitcoin market.

If the value is higher than the spot cryptocurrency price, it can be presumed that the average crypto-holder has some profit unrealized. On the contrary, if the BTC is lower than the value of the indicator then the majority of the losses are in the market.

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The Realized Price for the whole user base is not of concern in the present discussion. It’s the price of a small part: short-term holders (STHs). STHs are Bitcoin holders who have purchased tokens in the last 155 days.

The BTC market is divided into two major groups based on the holding time. One of these parts of the BTC market is known as the long-term holders (LTHs).

Here is the chart showing the Bitcoin Realized Price for the cohort in question over the last year.

Source:| Source: @JA_Maartun on X

In the graph shown above, it is clear that Bitcoin’s spot price fell under the “Realized Price” of the STHs, which means this group suffered a loss.

With the recent rally, cryptocurrency is now above this metric. This brings the group back to profit.

“This is usually a very bullish sign,” notes Maartunn. Last October, the chart showed that this asset had risen above the level following a long stay beneath it. The surge above the line sparked a rally that eventually led to the coin reaching a new record high.

The answer to why BTC has always been bullish when it breaks above STH’s Realized Price is investor psychology. STHs can react to price changes, even though they are inexperienced. They are more likely to react when the average cost base is retested.

These investors may be bearish and decide to sell if the price reaches their cost-basis, because they worry the increase won’t continue. They may also react to bullish times by buying even more, as their cost-basis could be a good point from which they can buy.

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BTC is able to move past the line, so it doesn’t seem that STHs offer any resistance. A bullish mood still prevails among them.

BTC Price

Bitcoin’s price has dropped to $64,800, after recovering above $66,000 yesterday.

Bitcoin Price Chart
The BTC has risen in price over the past few days.| Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Chart from TradingView.com. Image from Dall E, CryptoQuant.com.

“This article is not financial advice.”

“Always do your own research before making any type of investment.”

“ItsDailyCrypto is not responsible for any activities you perform outside ItsDailyCrypto.”

Source: www.newsbtc.com

bitcoin Bitcoin Cost-Basis Bitcoin Realized Price Bitcoin short-term holders bitcoin signal Bitcoin Very Bullish btc btcusd
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