Bitcoin (BTC), which is a cryptocurrency, hovered at a two-month-low on Wednesday.
The following are key points.
- Bitcoin traders can now assess the next possible price movement of BTC by bringing back 2022’s bear market.
- The history shows that a lower new high is then followed by a break down of the key trend line for 50 months.
- The trendline has remained the same throughout 2026.
Breakdown of the 50-month Bitcoin trendline “likely”
Data from TradingView showed cooling BTC price volatility after a trip to $65,362 on Bitstamp — a level last seen in early April.
BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
You can also read our article on After billions of dollars in liquidationsBTC/USD issued new warnings that it may be a while before the market reaches its worst.
Rekt Capital, a trading and analysis firm, focused its attention on the 60-month moving exponential average (EMA) at $66,628.
“Over time, Bitcoin is likely to breakdown from this EMA and continue macro downside in this Bear Market,” He warned The post is one of many on X.
Rekt Capital says that if 2022’s bear market were to happen again, then the price will see a bounce-back to form a new low before returning back to the 50 Month EMA. This would fail as a level of support.
“Historically, Bitcoin tends to rebound initially from the 50-Month EMA but then loses it as support as the Bear Cycle progresses,” He added.
BTC/USD chart for the month of January with 21EMA. Source: Rekt Capital/X
Leviathan, a trader from the futures market continued by arguing that 2026’s bear market is a replica of its predecessor “almost perfectly.”
“Every stage printing in the same order,” An X-post reportedCalling $60,000 is a good idea “line that matters.”
“Hold it – liquidity flush complete, recovery begins. Lose it – deeper correction, no support below. One level, two completely different outcomes. Market makes the call soon.”
BTC/USD Chart Comparison. Source: Leviathan/X
Killa is another trader who leveraged the 2022 price movement to suggest “weeks” The next step is to consolidate the movement between $63,000 and $65,000.
BTC chart price comparison Source: Killa/X
BTC’s price support could return 700%+.
The historical reaction to the 50 month EMA was a silver lining.
Related: Bitcoin has hit ‘max fear’ below $67K as analysis sees BTC price rebound
Paradox Analytics noted potential gains from Bitcoin’s eventual return to the trend line, after it had lost it.
“$BTC lost the monthly 50MA in 2022. It reclaimed it 5 months later, delivering a 715% return over the next 2 years,” It is a good idea to get a hold of someone else. told X Followers
BTC/USD experienced several closes each day below the line of trend in February. This helped to avoid a total breakdown. It was a good support in March and April.
Chart of BTC/USD with the 50-month EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
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Source: cointelegraph.com
