BitcoinBTC() has the potential to post its biggest weekly gain since 2025. This is despite a risk-off environment driven by the escalating US and Israel-Iran war.
The key takeaways:
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The purchase of 11,000 BTC could be possible after Strategy raises $776 Million this week.
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US Bitcoin ETFs received $767 millions in flows in the same period.
STRC suggests $776 Million in Bitcoin purchasing power
BTC/USD was up more than 7 percent over the last week, to about $70 625. Over the same period, the benchmark S&P 500 (SPX) was down 1.60%.
Divergence was seen as STRC.LIVE Estimates suggest that Strategy could have bought more than 11000 BTC this week with the cash raised from its STRC instruments sold at market.
With current Bitcoin prices, this would be approximately $776,000,000 in Bitcoin.

STRC is Strategy’s Exchange-Traded Income-Paying Instrument that allows it to raise money from investors in order to buy Bitcoin. It can be issued more shares if it’s trading above $100. demand into fresh BTC-buying capital.
Related: Bitcoin ‘passing geopolitical stress test’ as BTC price spikes above $72K
Strategy purchased 17,994 BTC last week. This was equivalent to approximately $1.28 billion. STRC proceeds accounted for approximately 30% of BTC purchases.
Bitcoin’s value was also increased by US spot Bitcoin ETFs, which attracted $767 million in net inflows Five consecutive trading days have seen BTC prices rise, despite Middle East turmoil.
Bitcoin gains during geopolitical crises
Bitcoin has historically seen a drop in value at the onset of large geopolitical conflicts. However, it always recovered to deliver greater gains.
The initial impact of the Russian invasion in Ukraine on February 20, 2022 was a dump. was followed by a 40% BTC price rallyAs shown in the below.

The same sequence was repeated after Israel’s June 2025 strikes on Iran. Bitcoin dropped in value immediately after the announcement, but then rose, adding about 25% to its value over the following two months.
During the January 2020 US–Iran flare-up after General Qasem Soleimani’s killing, Bitcoin rose more than 50% overallAlthough the initial response included a temporary price decrease,

The price of Bitcoin may increase further, if the past is any guide. macro models hinting at an escalation toward $100,000 In the next few months,
BTC bear flag maintains its downside risk
A bear flag on the Bitcoin chart can increase the probability of a trap.
When the price is rising within an ascending parallel channel following a downtrend, bear flags can form. Usually, they resolve themselves when the price falls below the lower border and drops by the same amount as the height of the downtrend.
Bitcoin, as of Saturday, showed signs that the price was capped near its upper limit. This is also in line with the 50 day exponential moving (50-day EMA) redline at $72,750.

The measured target for Bitcoin’s downside is around $51,000 when using the bear-flag principle.
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Source: cointelegraph.com

