Ripple [XRP] The price of the dollar is condensing around $1.33. Meanwhile, derivatives show a textbook reset in leverage. Since November’s peak, the Open Interest (OI), has been steadily declining. The 30-day changes are now near zero on major exchanges.
Binance has experienced an abrupt contraction. The notional amount of XRP was reduced by over 700 million.
As leverage unwinds, price remains stable, signaling no aggressive sell-side continuation. It is possible that weak players have left the market, leaving behind a more streamlined structure.
Binance’s holdings are nearing $3.6 billion while netflows hover around -$11.4billion, which indicates sustained withdrawals. The shift in the market suggests that big players have been quietly building up during periods of low volatility to prepare for a breakout.
Fear of XRP is rising!
XRP’s It is not only that sentiment has diminished, it’s also shifting to a more fearful phase. This is usually seen at the point of exhaustion.
After a 63% drop over the past nine months, prices are stabilizing at $1.33. However, negative comments now dominate bullish opinions. This change reflects retail surrender, when participants have lost confidence following prolonged losses.
When sentiment ratios reach parity – around 1,02 for bulls to 1,00 for bears – the mass no longer influences momentum. It is important because the markets often move in opposition to consensus positions. Fear replaces optimism and selling pressure starts to diminish. This allows stronger hands to absorb the supply.
The signal, however, is still conditional. A relief rally could follow if demand is raised, but a weak response to the call for help may prolong consolidation.
XRP whales are accumulating as leverage resets
XRP flows show a pattern of consistent outflows. This indicates that large holders are continuing to accumulate.
The Net position change was negative from July to September 2025 and reached nearly 600M XRP. This was due to aggressive withdrawals of XRP into cold storage. This behavior was consistent with the downward trend of prices during this time period. It suggested whales were absorption supply, rather than distribution.
In the fourth quarter and first months of 2026 there will be a gradual decrease in outflows, with occasional spikes to positive activity. This brief inflow indicates short-term positioning or profit taking, though they are still limited. The trend is reinforced as netflows turn negative.
The pattern indicates a tightening of the supply at exchanges. Intermittent inflows, however, show that the conviction level isn’t absolute. This leaves room for volatility on a short-term basis within a long-term accumulation stage.
Final Summary
- Ripple’s falling reserves and a reset of leverage signal a cleaner structure. If demand grows, this could lead to future price gains.
- XRP sentiment is turning bearish, as retailers exit, but without a broader involvement, accumulation could stabilize the price and delay a breakout.
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Source: ambcrypto.com
