XRP is still a long way behind the other two cryptocurrencies, but that gap will not shrink any time soon. XRP trades at around $1.30 with roughly $80–85 billion in market cap at the time of writing — and an XRP vs Bitcoin or Ethereum comparison makes the distance look far wider than the rankings alone suggest. Price resistance and increasing supply pressure also keep it in fourth place.
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The Price Resistance and Supply Pressure of XRP and Ethereum
The chart is not helping the XRP cause
Since late 2025, the chart is not kind to XRP. Every week, lower highs are accumulating and the conversation about the “big three” is harder to defend. After a push to $1.50, the momentum waned and there was a break from an ascending short-term structure. The moving averages have fallen below the key levels. Momentum is also weak. There is no accumulation sign anywhere on this chart. Price resistance is also building from within — a large chunk of the supply is underwater, and those holders are waiting to exit at breakeven.
Early rallies are stifled by this kind of overhead. When you take into account how strongly institutional investors are backing Bitcoin and Ethereum right now, it makes the XRP vs Bitcoin & Ethereum gap look even worse.
CCN Analyst Victor Olanrewaju said:
“Looking at the daily chart, XRP still lacks a clear pathway to a durable uptrend.”
Every XRP compare is based on the wrong comparison.
The number of XRP tokens in circulation is currently over 60 billion, with escrow releases continuing to increase that figure each month. This supply-side pressure makes the market absorb continual new sales just to hold prices steady, never mind move them higher. The XRP vs Ethereum dynamic also looks unflattering from this angle — Ethereum runs with much tighter supply dynamics by comparison.
Math doesn’t either help with the case of the three big players. Even a $1 trillion XRP valuation — which would require extreme adoption levels — would only put the coin at around $16 per coin. To reach the big three, you would have to more than double your current market capitalization. This kind of movement requires strong institutional inflows as well as narrative dominance.
Geoffrey KendrickStandard Chartered Global Head of Digital Assets Research described the current market as:
“Capitulation-prone.”
Kendrick also slashed his 2026 XRP price target by 65%, cutting it from $8 all the way down to $2.80 — the largest single cut across all of Standard Chartered’s crypto forecasts at the time.
The XRP Big Three Race is also attracting institutional money from elsewhere
The actual flow of institutional funds is a better indicator than the market capitalization rankings. XRP’s split with Bitcoin at this time does not look good. Bitcoin’s spot ETFs managed to flip to institutional-dominated inflows within their first year on the market — XRP’s equivalent launched in November 2025 and has pulled in $1.44 billion so far, but 84% of that money is coming from retail, and weekly inflows have also dropped sharply from $200 million at launch to under $2 million by early March 2026.
Until this ratio changes and institutional weight begins to shift into XRP the price resistance from above will continue, XRP will be under pressure from below and the gap between the two will remain the same.
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Source: watcher.guru
