Bitcoin to drop below $55K by 2026: Prediction markets.

BitcoinBTCIn 2026 the price of gold may drop to as little as $55,000 due to macroeconomic uncertainties. 

The key takeaways

• Prediction markets predict that the BTC price will drop to $55,000 or less before December 31, with a probability of 65%-71%.

• Strategy has no intention of selling its BTC assets in 2026. 

• The sell-side pressure on Bitcoin is exacerbated by the negative ETF flows and whale selling. 

BTC Bear Market to Continue, Prediction Markets

The majority of traders in Polymarket and Kalshi predict that Bitcoin’s downtrend will continue throughout 2026. Their targets are as low as $40,000 

Related: Bitcoin tests old 2021 top as gold falls to six-week lows under $4.7K

On Thursday, Polymarket bettors are pricing in About 71% of BTC will drop below $55,000 by December 31, an increase of 13% from the day before.

Investors have set odds at 59% for BTC to fall below the psychological $50,000 level, and they also put a chance of 46% that BTC could drop down as low $45,000 by the end of this year.

Lower price targets for BTC are similar to those seen elsewhere. Kalshi is another prediction website where traders have placed 71% odds on Bitcoin falling below $60,000 and 65% chances that it falls below $55,000. Kalshi’s lowest target price is $40,000. There are 31% chances that BTC will drop to this level by December 31.

Bitcoin’s low for 2026 sits at $59,940The last time BTC/USD traded under $55,000, was February 2024.

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedSome analysts are of the opinion that the long-term BTC price downtrend is still in playWarning that the recovery to $76,000 is a bull trap. 

Does Strategy plan to sell Bitcoin by 2026?

Bitcoin’s recent drop to $69,000 saw it slide below Strategy’s average BTC cost price, which is $75,696 at the time of writing.

The price of the product is expected to fall, but despite this decline in value. Polymarket odds for Strategy selling Bitcoin In 2026, the expected percentage of purchases will remain low.

Trading in Polymarkets is still a very high probability event. 96% chance of it holding over 800,000 BTC before December 31. 

Last Week Strategy expanded its Bitcoin treasury to 761,000 BTC After purchasing 22,337 coins for approximately $1.6 Billion.

Bitcoin ETFs flow is at a standstill

The US Bitcoin ETFs returned to a net-negative flow on Wednesday.

Farside Investments, a leading investment company, reported that the majority of these outflows were from the Fidelity Bitcoin Fund (FBTC). shows.

You can also read about the advantages of using Cointelegraph reportedThe largest ETF offered by asset manager BlackRock experienced $34 million of outflows, as investors’ sentiment began to return. “extreme fear.”