Bitcoin has a “logical” bounce zone at $100,000

Important points

• Bitcoin is seeing a modest recovery into the close of the weekly candle, but traders are noticing key resistance above.

• BTC’s price could fall much further if the bulls do not regain that zone of resistance.

• Fibonacci Analysis suggests that a fall of this magnitude may not exceed 10%.

BitcoinBTC) returned above $111,000 into Sunday’s weekly close as analysis saw “promising” Recovery signs

BTC Price “logical” bounce zone near $100,000

The Data of Cointelegraph Markets Pro You can also find out more about the following: TradingView BTC/USD rose around 1% in value on the same day and reached a high local of $111 369.

This is the latest pair dip. followed US macroeconomic dataBulls retain $110,000 in support

“This is actually promising on $BTC,” crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe responded On X.

“It makes a new higher low and holds the support at $110K. Would be great if we crack $112K and fire up the bull run.”

The market participants continue to differ in their views on short-term BTC pricing. Cipher X, a popular trader, suggested that $112,000 would be a new low if bulls failed to reclaim the price.

$BTC The current value of the fund is $111k, however its structure suggests that it could dip.

I predict a fall to $108K if momentum stops below $112K

It’s the weekend, so it is best to be patient and relax. pic.twitter.com/JP8lUHoKNz

— Cipher X (@Cipher2X) September 7, 2025

“We either flip $113,000 and pump to new highs, or if we reject here we drop to $100,000,” Crypto Tony, a fellow trader added On the basis of the weekly chart, you can adopt a categorical approach to the day.

The 50-day SMA at $115.035 is a key level to monitor. The 200-day SMA, which stands at $101,760 respectively, was also cited by Trader TurboBullCapital as a critical one.

“Lose the $107k area & the downside target becomes the $101k level which also happens to coincide with the MA200,” Post X is a part concluded. 

“This is a logical area to expect a bounce.”

Bitcoin’s “worst case scenario” The $100,000 coincides

The following are some of the ways to get in touch with us. Cointelegraph reportedOne theory for longer-term time frames involves the market makers and their order books on exchanges.

Related: Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis

The report suggests that bears and short sellers could both be victims of manipulation in the run-up to an event where a huge squeeze is triggered, causing the market to reach new highs. The price movement would be similar to that of late 2024.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels imply that the maximum decline is 10%. This, too, is based upon historical data since the year-end.

“$BTC usually bottoms at 0.382 Fibonacci level. This happened in Q3 2024, Q2 2025 and will probably happen again,” popular trader ZYN observed.

“For anyone wondering how low we can go, 0.382 Fibonacci level is currently around $100K. So the worst case scenario is a 10% drop before a 50% rally above $150,000.”

This article contains no investment recommendations or advice. Risk is inherent in every investment decision and trade. The reader should always do research prior to making a final decision.