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Bitwise Europe’s latest Crypto Market Compass is a loud klaxon. Every major indicator of risk appetite and liquidity, as well as macro-momentum, are all in favor of Bitcoin. argues Move could be a good idea “provide a significant tailwind” For the benchmark asset. Bitcoin’s price has risen from $101,000 last week to $108,000 this past week, as traders digested the potent cocktail that was cooling inflation and geopolitical thaws along with an increasing dovish Federal Reserve.
Perfect Storm Coming for Bitcoin
Bitwise’s proprietary Cryptoasset Sentiment Index has surged to its most optimistic reading since May—”now clearly signal[ing] a bullish sentiment again,” The authors wrote. Behind that surge lies an unprecedented torrent of capital into exchange-traded products: cumulative net inflows to global Bitcoin ETPs have reached a year-to-date record of $14.3 billion, with five consecutive sessions last week adding another $2.2 billion—or roughly 20,763 BTC—to the pile. “Cumulative net inflows … signal potential upside opportunity for the price of Bitcoin,” Bitwise adds that US spot ETFs Now on a winning streak of 14 days, we could surpass the 16 day record that was set soon after our launch at the beginning of 2024.
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Why do investors now embrace risk? The Bitwise team points out what they call a “decline in macro uncertainty.” July may deliver new US trade Washington and Tehran struck an incredibly conciliatory note, with the former president Donald Trump even suggesting lifting of sanctions as long as Iran remains peaceful.
In addition, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has tied the timing of a resumption of rate cuts to progress on tariff talks—an alignment that leaves the door open to looser policy within weeks. This report summarizes the mood. “The trifecta of declining geopolitical risks, trade policy uncertainty and potential monetary policy stimulus should continue to lift market sentiment and provide a significant tailwind for Bitcoin and other crypto assets.”
*** 𝗡𝗘𝗪 ***
We have just published our latest 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝘄𝗶𝘀𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗹𝘆 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿 report for 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱!Here are the 𝗸𝗲𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘆𝘀 from the report that you need to know:
➡️ 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲’𝘀 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻… pic.twitter.com/UYBRwvRE6e
— André Dragosch, PhD⚡ (@Andre_Dragosch) July 1, 2025
Signals on the On-chain look just as primed. Whale wallets (1,000 BTC or more) withdrew 8,740 BTC from exchanges last week, exchange reserves sank to 2.898 million BTC—just 14.6 % of supply—and net selling pressure on spot venues fell from $2.2 billion to only $0.5 billion.
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Derivatives paint a more nuanced picture: futures open interest slid by 20,000 BTC, and bearish perpetual funding rates hint at lingering short bias, but options markets show traders quietly standing down—put-call open interest fell to 0.59 while one-month implied volatilities eased toward 38%. Bitwise interprets it as “short-term consolidation” Faced with a long-term trend that is intact.
Markets that are more traditional have also started to warm up. Bitwise’s Cross-Asset Risk Appetite Index (CARA) jumped from 0.3 to 0.49. It is yet another sign that capital has been redirected into trades with a growth-sensitive nature. Last week, 70% of altcoins tracked beat Bitcoin. This is a trend that has historically been associated with bullish early cycle phases.
In its bottom-line assessment, Bitwise stops short of price targets but leaves little doubt about direction: as long as geopolitical détente, trade breakthroughs and an accommodative Fed converge with relentless ETF inflows, “a decisive return in global risk appetite” Bitcoin’s upward momentum is most likely to be maintained. Should US spot ETFs secure just three more sessions of net inflows this week—surpassing their 2024 record—the firm suggests the market may discover how quickly a supply-constrained asset can react when the macro wind blows at its back.
BTC was trading at $106,840 as of the time this article went to press.
Featured Image created using DALL.E and chart from TradingView.com
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Source: www.newsbtc.com
